ServisFirst Bancshares (SFBS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SFBS - ServisFirst Bancshares Inc.
$41.72
0.42 (1.02%)
▲
5d:
+6.0%
30d:
+1.14%
90d:
-52.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 19, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SFBS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SFBS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.66
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SFBS is currently trading at $41.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.88 to $41.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SFBS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+11.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SFBS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+11.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.88 -
$41.49
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($46.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.88 -
$41.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.69
Resistance Level
$41.37
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.80
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
55.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.63
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$41.96
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$42.30
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.22
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$92.97
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 10.2%)
$55.24
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 10.2%)
$46.95
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.15
Bull Case
$48.63
(+18%)
Analyst growth 11.1%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$44.21
(+7%)
Market implied 11.1%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$27.06
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 11:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SFBS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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