ServisFirst Bancshares (SFBS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SFBS - ServisFirst Bancshares Inc.
$40.15
0.40 (1.01%)
▲
5d:
-2.81%
30d:
-5.08%
90d:
-54.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 19, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SFBS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SFBS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.59
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SFBS is currently trading at $40.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.80 to $42.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SFBS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.72, while resistance sits at $42.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.33 (+20.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SFBS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.72, while resistance sits at $42.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.33 (+20.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$40.80 -
$42.86
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($48.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.80 -
$42.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.72
Resistance Level
$42.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.12
Wall Street Target
$48.33
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.1%
Profit Margin
54.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.63
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$39.11
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$38.60
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$40.28
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$103.81
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 12.1%)
$56.57
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$48.08
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.93
Bull Case
$53.90
(+34%)
Analyst growth 23.3%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$49.00
(+22%)
Market implied 23.3%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$27.03
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$41.90
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SFBS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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