SIGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SIGI - Selective Insurance Group
$94.79
0.13 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
-1.6%
30d:
-3.3%
90d:
+12.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SIGI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SIGI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.13
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SIGI is currently trading at $94.79, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.75 to $98.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIGI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $91.41, while resistance sits at $99.23.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIGI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $91.41, while resistance sits at $99.23.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$94.75 -
$98.01
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($100.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$94.75 -
$98.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$91.41
Resistance Level
$99.23
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.76
Wall Street Target
$100.71
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
55.1%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.22
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$99.84
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$102.54
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$94.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$238.86
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$123.45
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 9.3%)
$104.93
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.06
Bull Case
$116.13
(+23%)
Analyst growth 9.2%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$105.57
(+11%)
Market implied 9.2%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$65.74
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 3:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SIGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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