SIGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SIGI - Selective Insurance Group
$92.44
0.13 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
+0.03%
30d:
+3.61%
90d:
+24.85%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SIGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SIGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.74
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SIGI is currently trading at $92.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.15 to $91.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIGI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SIGI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIGI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SIGI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$87.15 -
$91.83
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($92.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 5.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.15 -
$91.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.87
Resistance Level
$90.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.44
Wall Street Target
$92.43
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.57
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$96.74
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$98.97
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$91.97
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.6%)
$275.14
(+198%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 12.6%)
$131.86
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 12.6%)
$112.08
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.31
Bull Case
$123.02
(+33%)
Analyst growth 21.2%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$111.84
(+21%)
Market implied 21.2%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$62.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SIGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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