SVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SVV - Savers Value Village, Inc.
$10.75
0.28 (2.67%)
â˛
5d:
+0.84%
30d:
+19.18%
90d:
+33.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SVV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SVV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.49
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.48
6.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVV is currently trading at $10.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.60 to $11.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.5) compared to its historical average (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.35, while resistance sits at $12.41.
Market Sentiment: SVV scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.55 (+28.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.35, while resistance sits at $12.41.
Market Sentiment: SVV scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.55 (+28.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.60 -
$11.19
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.8% below Wall St target ($14.55)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.60 -
$11.19
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.35
Resistance Level
$12.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.52
Wall Street Target
$14.55
(+28.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.82
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$12.36
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$12.93
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â16)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 23.1%)
$22.82
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 23.1%)
$21.06
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 23.1%)
$17.90
(+58%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 13.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.78
Bull Case
$12.98
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$10.75
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$8.22
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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