SVV
Savers Value Village, Inc.
RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS RETAIL
Savers Value Village (SVV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.91
-0.16 (-1.59%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.49%
30d:
+7.37%
90d:
-8.49%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (44%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$9.08 â $9.98
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.7x
FAIR
vs 16.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.23
+43.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.89 / $10.66
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SVV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.20
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.06
1.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVV is currently trading at $9.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.08 to $9.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.88, while resistance sits at $10.66.
Market Sentiment: SVV scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.23 (+43.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.88, while resistance sits at $10.66.
Market Sentiment: SVV scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.23 (+43.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.08 -
$9.98
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.08 -
$9.98
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$8.89
Resistance Level
$10.66
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.6% below Wall St target ($14.23)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.73
Wall Street Target
$14.23
(+43.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 16.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.03
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$10.15
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$10.27
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â16)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.89
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.6%)
$19.60
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 18.6%)
$16.51
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 18.6%)
$14.03
(+42%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.39
Bull Case
$16.83
(+70%)
Analyst growth 51.9%, PE expands to 28.4
Base Case
$15.30
(+54%)
Market implied 51.9%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$6.85
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SVV)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates $SVV on StockTwits due to the placement of 20 million shares by existing holders, potentially increasing supply and reinforcing downward pressure on the stock price.
Key Retail Themes:
supply and demand dynamics
impact of insider selling
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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