Savers Value Village (SVV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SVV - Savers Value Village, Inc.
$9.25
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.96%
30d:
-9.76%
90d:
-5.52%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SVV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SVV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.86
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.09
16.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVV is currently trading at $9.25, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.18 to $10.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.83, while resistance sits at $9.56.
Market Sentiment: SVV scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.23 (+53.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.83, while resistance sits at $9.56.
Market Sentiment: SVV scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.23 (+53.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.18 -
$10.38
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.8% below Wall St target ($14.23)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 24% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.18 -
$10.38
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.83
Resistance Level
$9.56
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.30
Wall Street Target
$14.23
(+53.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.07
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$8.90
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$8.73
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$9.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 21.9%)
$22.33
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 21.9%)
$16.74
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 21.9%)
$14.23
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 30.03 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.31
Bull Case
$11.17
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.5
Base Case
$9.25
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.0
Bear Case
$7.08
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$9.79
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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