TAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TAC - TransAlta Corporation
$13.85
0.11 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
+3.44%
30d:
+6.7%
90d:
+17.57%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TAC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TAC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.47
20.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TAC is currently trading at $13.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.65 to $13.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.0) compared to its historical average (34.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $12.34, while resistance sits at $14.77.
Market Sentiment: TAC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $12.34, while resistance sits at $14.77.
Market Sentiment: TAC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.65 -
$13.92
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($13.05)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.65 -
$13.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.34
Resistance Level
$14.77
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.96
Wall Street Target
$13.05
(-5.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.6%
Profit Margin
-7.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.0 vs 34.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.22
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.10
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→34)
$14.37
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.0, Growth: 107.9%)
$46.74
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 107.9%)
$42.49
(+207%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 107.9%)
$36.11
(+161%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.0 to 34.1
Stabilization Target:
$19.71
(+42.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TAC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TAC price and gamma walls.
