TAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TAC - TransAlta Corporation
$12.21
-0.38 (-3.02%)
▼
5d:
-4.53%
30d:
-13.47%
90d:
-9.56%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.84
27.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TAC is currently trading at $12.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.35 to $13.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.2) compared to its historical average (32.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: TAC scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: TAC scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.35 -
$13.59
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TAC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.33)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.35 -
$13.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.19
Resistance Level
$12.88
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.22
Wall Street Target
$13.33
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.6%
Profit Margin
-1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.2 vs 32.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.14
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.03
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→32)
$13.00
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.2, Growth: 79.7%)
$41.78
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 79.7%)
$37.74
(+205%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 79.7%)
$32.08
(+159%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.2 to 32.0
Stabilization Target:
$17.83
(+44.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TAC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TAC price and gamma walls.
