Telephone and Data Systems (TDS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDS - Telephone and Data Systems Inc.
$37.46
0.02 (0.05%)
▲
5d:
-0.95%
30d:
+12.93%
90d:
-6.42%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TDS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TDS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.04
Based on -45.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDS is currently trading at $37.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.28 to $36.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 173.3) compared to its historical average (148.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TDS scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+26.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TDS scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+26.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.28 -
$36.59
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TDS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.8% below Wall St target ($47.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.3% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.28 -
$36.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.08
Resistance Level
$38.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
173.27
Wall Street Target
$47.50
(+26.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Profit Margin
33.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
173.3 vs 148.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.45
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$41.54
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$43.74
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 173→149)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 173.3, Growth: -94.2%)
$27.31
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -94.2%)
$3.18
(-92%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -94.2%)
$2.70
(-93%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.95
Bull Case
$20.59
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$18.72
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$25.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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