TDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TDS - Telephone and Data Systems Inc.

TELEPHONE COMMUNICATIONS (NO RADIOTELEPHONE)
$39.07
0.13 (0.33%) ▲
5d: -1.91%
30d: -5.17%
90d: -9.2%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TDS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.19
Based on -39.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.12
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TDS is currently trading at $39.07, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.97 to $40.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 171.1) compared to its historical average (146.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.50 (+29.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $38.97 - $40.67
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 86.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($50.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.2% growth with 6.5% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $38.97 - $40.67
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.03 (5.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $38.49
Resistance Level $40.55
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 171.06
Wall Street Target $50.50 (+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -11.8%
Profit Margin 10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.2% premium
PE vs Historical 171.1 vs 146.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $41.10 (+5%)
2-Year Target $43.24 (+11%)
3-Year Target $45.49 (+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 171→147) PE COMPRESSION $39.06 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 171.1, Growth: -83.3%) $28.48 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -83.3%) $3.63 (-91%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: -83.3%) $3.08 (-92%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.70
Bull Case $21.42 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case $19.47 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case $26.48 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TDS Option Strategies

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