TDS
Telephone and Data Systems Inc.
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Telephone and Data Systems (TDS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$31.78
-0.99 (-3.02%)
▼
5d:
-11.75%
30d:
-8.52%
90d:
-9.3%
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Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
0d
Protect TDS Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$33.21 – $35.42
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
127.5x
CHEAP
vs 151.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$47.50
+49.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$31.20 / $37.10
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TDS is down 11.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.05
Based on -44.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDS is currently trading at $31.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.21 to $35.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 127.5) compared to its historical average (151.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $31.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: TDS scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+49.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $31.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: TDS scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+49.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$33.21 -
$35.42
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$33.21 -
$35.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$31.20
Resistance Level
$37.10
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding TDS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.5% below Wall St target ($47.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
127.48
Wall Street Target
$47.50
(+49.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Profit Margin
43.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
127.5 vs 151.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.03
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$28.38
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$26.82
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 127→151)
$31.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 127.5, Growth: -93.9%)
$23.17
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -93.9%)
$3.61
(-89%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -93.9%)
$3.07
(-90%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.94
Bull Case
$18.02
(-43%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$16.39
(-48%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$22.28
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 127.5 to 151.2
Stabilization Target:
$37.69
(+18.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TDS)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Oct 26, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on TDS are bearish (sentiment score -0.65) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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