Telephone and Data Systems (TDS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TDS - Telephone and Data Systems Inc.

TELEPHONE COMMUNICATIONS (NO RADIOTELEPHONE)
$34.78
1.61 (4.85%) ▲
5d: +2.23%
30d: -4.53%
90d: +1.19%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026 14d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TDS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.04
Based on -45.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.03
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TDS is currently trading at $34.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.90 to $36.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 153.4) is in line with its historical norms (150.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: TDS scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+43.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $33.90 - $36.44
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 91.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 43.2% below Wall St target ($47.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $33.90 - $36.44
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.71
Resistance Level $35.55
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 153.42
Wall Street Target $47.50 (+43.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -11.8%
Profit Margin 33.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium
PE vs Historical 153.4 vs 150.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $33.37 (+1%)
2-Year Target $33.57 (+1%)
3-Year Target $33.77 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 153→151) PE COMPRESSION $33.15 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 153.4, Growth: -94.2%) $24.18 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -94.2%) $3.13 (-91%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -94.2%) $2.66 (-92%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.00
Bull Case $18.74 (-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case $17.04 (-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.5
Bear Case $23.17 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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NEUTRAL

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