TEO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TEO - Telecom Argentina S.A.

Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone)
$13.14
-0.06 (-0.45%) ▼
5d: -1.5%
30d: -3.52%
90d: +10.7%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.06
Based on -19.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.90
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TEO is currently trading at $13.14, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.26 to $13.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TEO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: TEO scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.32 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $13.26 - $13.89
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 88.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.32)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 10.2% growth expectation is conservative given 439% recent growth
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.26 - $13.89
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.84
Resistance Level $14.60
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.48
Wall Street Target $15.32 (+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 439.1%
Profit Margin 8.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +10.2% premium
PE vs Historical 14.5 vs 10.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +10.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.48 (+10%)
2-Year Target $15.96 (+21%)
3-Year Target $17.58 (+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→11) PE COMPRESSION $13.11 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -42.2%) $13.28 (+1%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: -42.2%) $9.58 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 10.8, Growth: -42.2%) $7.14 (-46%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.24
Bull Case $10.63 (-19%)
Analyst growth -26.8%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case $9.66 (-27%)
Market implied -26.8%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case $8.98 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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