TEO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEO - Telecom Argentina S.A.
$13.03
-0.16 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
-13.77%
30d:
+9.77%
90d:
+12.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TEO is down 13.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TEO is down 13.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.60
Based on -18.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEO is currently trading at $13.03, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.28 to $14.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.80 (+12.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.80 (+12.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.28 -
$14.71
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.80)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 17.3% growth expectation is conservative given 439% recent growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.28 -
$14.71
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.70
Resistance Level
$15.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.67
Wall Street Target
$14.80
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
439.1%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+17.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 9.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+17.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.47
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$18.15
(+38%)
3-Year Target
$21.29
(+61%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.21
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -41.7%)
$14.28
(+8%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: -41.7%)
$9.62
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: -41.7%)
$5.97
(-55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.56
Bull Case
$24.29
(+84%)
Analyst growth 60.6%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$22.08
(+67%)
Market implied 60.6%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$9.35
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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