Taseko Mines (TGB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.27
-0.22 (-2.94%)
▼
5d:
-2.02%
30d:
-16.53%
90d:
-16.72%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
64/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$7.37 – $8.53
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.2x
CHEAP
vs 7.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$10.41
+43.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.75 / $8.10
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TGB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.19
35.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGB is currently trading at $7.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.37 to $8.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.75, while resistance sits at $8.10.
Market Sentiment: TGB scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.41 (+43.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.75, while resistance sits at $8.10.
Market Sentiment: TGB scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.41 (+43.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.37 -
$8.53
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$7.37 -
$8.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$6.75
Resistance Level
$8.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.1% below Wall St target ($10.41)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.21
Wall Street Target
$10.41
(+43.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
96.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.3%
Profit Margin
6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 7.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.72
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$6.22
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$5.75
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$7.32
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 120.5%)
$78.51
(+980%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 120.5%)
$24.54
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 120.5%)
$20.86
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.15
Bull Case
$16.48
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.9
Base Case
$14.98
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.9
Bear Case
$5.09
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$9.25
(+27.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TGB)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trekor Metals' copper operations and risk management are under increased scrutiny, with investors re-evaluating the company's operational execution and financial transparency. The market is focusing on Gibraltar and Florence's production and cost performance.
Key Retail Themes:
Increased investor focus on operational progress and financial transparency
Market scrutiny of Gibraltar and Florence's production and cost performance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 AM
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