Taseko Mines (TGB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGB - Taseko Mines Limited
$7.96
0.01 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
-2.93%
30d:
-14.96%
90d:
+9.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TGB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TGB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.93
27.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGB is currently trading at $7.96, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.09 to $8.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.67, while resistance sits at $9.01.
Market Sentiment: TGB scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.48 (+31.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.67, while resistance sits at $9.01.
Market Sentiment: TGB scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.48 (+31.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.09 -
$8.92
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($10.48)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.09 -
$8.92
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.67
Resistance Level
$9.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.96
Wall Street Target
$10.48
(+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
184.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.3%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 7.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.62
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$7.29
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$6.98
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$7.92
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 116.3%)
$76.67
(+863%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 116.3%)
$26.86
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 116.3%)
$22.84
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.01 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.72
Bull Case
$9.61
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$7.96
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$6.09
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$9.04
(+13.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 AM
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