Taseko Mines (TGB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGB - Taseko Mines Limited
$8.31
-0.60 (-6.73%)
âŧ
5d:
-7.36%
30d:
-1.54%
90d:
+19.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TGB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TGB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.85
23.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGB is currently trading at $8.31, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.22 to $9.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: TGB scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.35 (+24.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: TGB scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.35 (+24.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$8.22 -
$9.20
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($10.35)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.22 -
$9.20
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.24
Resistance Level
$9.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.41
Wall Street Target
$10.35
(+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
184.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.3%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.11
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$7.92
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$7.73
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â8)
$8.34
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 98.9%)
$77.20
(+829%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 98.9%)
$28.05
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 98.9%)
$23.84
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.01 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.75
Bull Case
$10.03
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$8.31
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$6.36
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$8.97
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:19 AM
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