Taseko Mines (TGB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGB - Taseko Mines Limited
$8.14
0.12 (1.50%)
â˛
5d:
-3.1%
30d:
-6.76%
90d:
+18.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TGB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TGB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.76
24.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGB is currently trading at $8.14, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.06 to $9.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TGB scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.65 (+30.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TGB scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.65 (+30.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$8.06 -
$9.16
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.8% below Wall St target ($10.65)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.06 -
$9.16
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.97
Resistance Level
$9.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.32
Wall Street Target
$10.65
(+30.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
184.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.3%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.90
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$7.67
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$7.45
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â8)
$8.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 95.6%)
$75.73
(+830%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 95.6%)
$27.47
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 95.6%)
$23.35
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 10.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.79
Bull Case
$9.83
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$8.14
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$6.23
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$8.90
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
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