TGB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGB - Taseko Mines Limited
$9.19
0.50 (5.75%)
▲
5d:
+10.06%
30d:
+26.58%
90d:
+39.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TGB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TGB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.85
15.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGB is currently trading at $9.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.01 to $8.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TGB scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.67 (+22.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TGB scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.67 (+22.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.01 -
$8.54
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($10.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.01 -
$8.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.22
Resistance Level
$9.33
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.75
Wall Street Target
$10.67
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
184.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.3%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.59
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$8.50
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$8.41
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$8.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 83.3%)
$75.96
(+774%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 83.3%)
$29.33
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 83.3%)
$24.93
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.37 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.45
Bull Case
$11.10
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$9.19
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$7.03
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$8.97
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TGB showing a specific setup today?
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