TGB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGB - Taseko Mines Limited
$7.02
-0.28 (-3.84%)
▼
5d:
+0.72%
30d:
+9.18%
90d:
-3.7%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TGB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TGB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.37
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.16
30.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGB is currently trading at $7.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.50 to $7.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.29, while resistance sits at $8.35. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TGB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.29, while resistance sits at $8.35. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TGB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$6.50 -
$7.35
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($7.49)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.50 -
$7.35
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.29
Resistance Level
$8.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.85
Wall Street Target
$7.49
(+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
70.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-45.5%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.61
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$6.23
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$5.87
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$7.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 73.7%)
$75.35
(+973%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 73.7%)
$23.69
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 73.7%)
$20.14
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.38
Bull Case
$8.81
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$7.30
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$5.58
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$8.40
(+19.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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