TIMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TIMB - TIM S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 5 Common Shares)
$17.83
0.37 (2.12%)
▲
5d:
-1.82%
30d:
-3.1%
90d:
-18.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TIMB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TIMB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.51
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.91
25.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TIMB is currently trading at $17.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.89 to $18.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.27, while resistance sits at $19.23.
Market Sentiment: TIMB scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.24 (+36.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.27, while resistance sits at $19.23.
Market Sentiment: TIMB scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.24 (+36.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.89 -
$18.94
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.0% below Wall St target ($24.24)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.89 -
$18.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.27
Resistance Level
$19.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.64
Wall Street Target
$24.24
(+36.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.24
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$14.80
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$13.48
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$17.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 16.9%)
$67.33
(+278%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 16.9%)
$28.52
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 16.9%)
$24.24
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.72
Bull Case
$23.04
(+29%)
Analyst growth 20.0%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case
$20.95
(+18%)
Market implied 20.0%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$11.87
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$23.53
(+31.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:14 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TIMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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