TIMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TIMB - TIM S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 5 Common Shares)
$18.89
-0.29 (-1.51%)
▼
5d:
+1.02%
30d:
+3.85%
90d:
-14.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TIMB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TIMB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.18
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.33
22.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TIMB is currently trading at $18.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.65 to $18.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TIMB scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.24 (+28.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TIMB scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.24 (+28.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.65 -
$18.64
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.3% below Wall St target ($24.24)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.65 -
$18.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.32
Resistance Level
$19.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.15
Wall Street Target
$24.24
(+28.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 11.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.44
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$16.09
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$14.85
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$18.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.9%)
$66.57
(+252%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 16.9%)
$30.21
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 16.9%)
$25.68
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
Bull Case
$24.60
(+30%)
Analyst growth 16.6%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$22.36
(+18%)
Market implied 16.6%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$13.04
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$23.94
(+26.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TIMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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