TIMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TIMB - TIM S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 5 Common Shares)
$18.92
-0.25 (-1.30%)
▼
5d:
-9.39%
30d:
-12.85%
90d:
-26.21%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TIMB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TIMB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.39
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.70
26.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TIMB is currently trading at $18.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.25 to $22.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.77 (+30.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.77 (+30.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.25 -
$22.45
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($24.77)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.25 -
$22.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.77
Resistance Level
$22.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.83
Wall Street Target
$24.77
(+30.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 12.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.79
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$19.06
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.4%)
$68.27
(+261%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$29.08
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 15.4%)
$24.72
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.75
Bull Case
$25.82
(+37%)
Analyst growth 22.4%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$23.47
(+24%)
Market implied 22.4%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$13.04
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$26.14
(+38.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 9:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is TIMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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