TIMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TIMB - TIM S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 5 Common Shares)
$19.17
-0.29 (-1.49%)
▼
5d:
+2.68%
30d:
+4.58%
90d:
-8.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TIMB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TIMB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.96
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.33
14.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TIMB is currently trading at $19.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.04 to $19.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TIMB scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.49 (+22.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TIMB scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.49 (+22.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.04 -
$19.13
Company Quality Score
25/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.5% below Wall St target ($23.49)
- WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.04 -
$19.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.75
Resistance Level
$19.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.43
Wall Street Target
$23.49
(+22.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.08
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$17.05
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$16.08
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$19.09
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.3%)
$61.88
(+223%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 15.3%)
$29.39
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 15.3%)
$24.98
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.70
Bull Case
$25.59
(+34%)
Analyst growth 19.5%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$23.26
(+21%)
Market implied 19.5%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$13.23
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$22.76
(+18.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TIMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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