TKC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TKC - TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S. ADS
$4.78
-0.13 (-2.65%)
▼
5d:
-4.02%
30d:
-7.36%
90d:
-14.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TKC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TKC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.55
13.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TKC is currently trading at $4.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.95 to $5.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 0.1) is in line with its historical norms (0.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TKC scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.41 (+54.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TKC scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.41 (+54.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.95 -
$5.18
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.9% below Wall St target ($7.41)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.95 -
$5.18
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.72
Resistance Level
$5.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.10
Wall Street Target
$7.41
(+54.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.1 vs 0.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.55
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$4.32
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$4.11
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0→0)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.95
(-17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 68.1%)
$3076.86
(+64270%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.1, Growth: 68.1%)
$16.13
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.1, Growth: 68.1%)
$13.71
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.53
Bull Case
$10.80
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$9.82
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$3.34
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 10:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TKC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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