TKC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TKC - TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S. ADS
$5.80
0.06 (1.05%)
▲
5d:
-0.85%
30d:
+1.4%
90d:
-10.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TKC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TKC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.29
7.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TKC is currently trading at $5.80, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.75 to $6.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 0.1) is in line with its historical norms (0.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.62, while resistance sits at $5.97.
Market Sentiment: TKC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.52 (+29.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.62, while resistance sits at $5.97.
Market Sentiment: TKC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.52 (+29.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.75 -
$6.04
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($7.52)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.75 -
$6.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.63
Resistance Level
$5.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.11
Wall Street Target
$7.52
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.1 vs 0.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.63
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$5.46
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$5.29
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0→0)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.75
(-18%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 79.8%)
$3824.37
(+65838%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.1, Growth: 79.8%)
$19.57
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.1, Growth: 79.8%)
$16.64
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.45
Bull Case
$12.63
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$11.48
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$3.90
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TKC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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