TKC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TKC - TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S. ADS
$5.04
0.02 (0.40%)
â˛
5d:
-2.51%
30d:
-0.79%
90d:
-13.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TKC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TKC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.55
9.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TKC is currently trading at $5.04, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.03 to $5.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 0.1) is in line with its historical norms (0.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.28 (+44.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.28 (+44.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.03 -
$5.32
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.4% below Wall St target ($7.28)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.03 -
$5.32
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.93
Resistance Level
$5.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.11
Wall Street Target
$7.28
(+44.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.1 vs 0.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.94
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$4.84
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$4.74
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0â0)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.32
(-14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 78.8%)
$3160.52
(+62609%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.1, Growth: 78.8%)
$17.01
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.1, Growth: 78.8%)
$14.46
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$11.04
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$10.04
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$3.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TKC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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