TKC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TKC - TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S. ADS
$5.46
0.06 (1.11%)
▲
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
-2.5%
90d:
-6.19%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TKC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TKC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.55
1.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TKC is currently trading at $5.46, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.39 to $5.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 0.1) compared to its historical average (0.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TKC scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.41 (+37.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TKC scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.41 (+37.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.39 -
$5.76
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.2% below Wall St target ($7.41)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 2.5% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.39 -
$5.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.34
Resistance Level
$5.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.12
Wall Street Target
$7.41
(+37.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
0.1 vs 0.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.43
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$5.46
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$5.50
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0→0)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.67
(-14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 78.8%)
$3109.40
(+57482%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.1, Growth: 78.8%)
$18.23
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.1, Growth: 78.8%)
$15.49
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case
$11.95
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$10.86
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$3.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TKC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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