TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia
Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone)
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PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$11.43
+0.20 (+1.78%)
▲
5d:
+6.33%
30d:
-9.64%
90d:
-22.19%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
59/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$10.98 – $12.64
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.2x
CHEAP
vs 11.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$16.00
+40.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.37 / $11.45
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TLK trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.40
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLK is currently trading at $11.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.98 to $12.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TLK scores 91/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+40.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TLK scores 91/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+40.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.98 -
$12.64
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$10.98 -
$12.64
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$10.37
Resistance Level
$11.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (91/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.0% below Wall St target ($16.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 91/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.21
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+40.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.7%
Profit Margin
11.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 11.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.87
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$10.34
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$9.83
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$11.45
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.5%)
$25.34
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 4.5%)
$13.03
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 4.5%)
$11.08
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$14.55
(+27%)
Analyst growth 17.8%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$13.23
(+16%)
Market implied 17.8%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$7.64
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$13.32
(+16.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.5%
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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