PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLK - PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia
$14.94
-0.05 (-0.33%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.88%
30d:
+2.05%
90d:
-5.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TLK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TLK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.92
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLK is currently trading at $14.94, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.65 to $15.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$14.65 -
$15.03
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.65 -
$15.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.53
Resistance Level
$15.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.16
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.75
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$14.55
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$14.36
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â13)
$14.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.2%)
$28.01
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 4.2%)
$16.89
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 4.2%)
$14.36
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.01
Bull Case
$20.05
(+34%)
Analyst growth 21.6%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case
$18.23
(+22%)
Market implied 21.6%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$10.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$15.48
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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