PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLK - PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia
$12.21
0.43 (3.65%)
â˛
5d:
-4.46%
30d:
-9.35%
90d:
-15.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TLK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TLK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.32
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLK is currently trading at $12.21, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.98 to $14.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.15, while resistance sits at $13.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+39.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.15, while resistance sits at $13.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+39.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.98 -
$14.07
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 39.2% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.98 -
$14.07
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.15
Resistance Level
$13.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.94
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+39.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 12.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.42
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$10.67
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$9.98
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â12)
$12.25
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.2%)
$27.57
(+126%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 4.2%)
$13.80
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 4.2%)
$11.73
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.03
Bull Case
$15.45
(+27%)
Analyst growth 19.2%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$14.05
(+15%)
Market implied 19.2%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$8.01
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$14.98
(+22.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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