TLS
Telos Corporation Common Stock
SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
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Telos (TLS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.65
-0.02 (-0.26%)
βΌ
5d:
+51.19%
30d:
+75.86%
90d:
+66.3%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (14%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$4.06 β $6.03
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
26.4x
FAIR
vs 28.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$7.75
+1.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.65 / $7.96
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TLS is 26.9% above its trading range ($6.03). Market expects -2.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.77
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLS is currently trading at $7.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.06 to $6.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.4) is in line with its historical norms (28.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.64, while resistance sits at $7.96.
Market Sentiment: TLS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.64, while resistance sits at $7.96.
Market Sentiment: TLS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.06 -
$6.03
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
14.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$4.06 -
$6.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$4.65
Resistance Level
$7.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+26.9% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($7.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile β this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.38
Wall Street Target
$7.75
(+1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Profit Margin
-4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.4 vs 28.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.48
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$7.32
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$7.16
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26β28)
$7.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.4, Growth: 51.0%)
$25.82
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 51.0%)
$19.44
(+154%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 51.0%)
$16.52
(+116%)
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.4 to 28.2
Stabilization Target:
$8.18
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TLS)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user expressed profit-taking and setting a stop loss on $TLS, indicating a positive sentiment towards the stock.
Key Retail Themes:
Profit-taking
Positive sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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