TLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLS - Telos Corporation Common Stock
$4.34
0.05 (1.17%)
▲
5d:
-3.13%
30d:
-7.66%
90d:
-1.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 21.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 21.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.86
44.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLS is currently trading at $4.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.26 to $4.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (35.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.07, while resistance sits at $5.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.83 (+57.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.07, while resistance sits at $5.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.83 (+57.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.26 -
$4.80
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.4% below Wall St target ($6.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.26 -
$4.80
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.07
Resistance Level
$5.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.69
Wall Street Target
$6.83
(+57.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.9%
Profit Margin
-14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 35.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.52
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.16
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→35)
$6.63
(+53%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 106.3%)
$19.11
(+340%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 106.3%)
$14.65
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 106.3%)
$12.45
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 35.0
Stabilization Target:
$9.10
(+109.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+109.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Derrick D Dockery
SELL
4100 shares
2026-03-19
Edward Hutchinson Jr. Ro…
SELL
64527 shares
2026-03-18
Edward Hutchinson Jr. Ro…
SELL
37096 shares
2026-03-17
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