Telos (TLS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLS - Telos Corporation Common Stock
$3.95
-0.73 (-15.60%)
▼
5d:
-18.89%
30d:
-8.99%
90d:
-12.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TLS is down 18.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TLS is down 18.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.98
50.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLS is currently trading at $3.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.33 to $4.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (30.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 15.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: TLS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.83 (+73.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 15.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: TLS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.83 (+73.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.33 -
$4.79
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-15.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 73.0% below Wall St target ($6.83)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.33 -
$4.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.94
Resistance Level
$5.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.96
Wall Street Target
$6.83
(+73.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Profit Margin
-8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 30.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.56
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.88
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→31)
$5.89
(+49%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 67.6%)
$17.97
(+355%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 67.6%)
$13.33
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 67.6%)
$11.33
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 30.6
Stabilization Target:
$8.08
(+104.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+104.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Derrick D Dockery
SELL
4100 shares
2026-03-19
Edward Hutchinson Jr. Ro…
SELL
64527 shares
2026-03-18
Edward Hutchinson Jr. Ro…
SELL
37096 shares
2026-03-17
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