TLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLS - Telos Corporation Common Stock
$4.89
0.01 (0.20%)
▲
5d:
-1.01%
30d:
+7.24%
90d:
+23.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.07
30.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLS is currently trading at $4.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.33 to $4.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.9) compared to its historical average (33.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.07, while resistance sits at $5.43.
Market Sentiment: TLS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.83 (+39.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.07, while resistance sits at $5.43.
Market Sentiment: TLS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.83 (+39.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.33 -
$4.80
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
40th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 40th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.7% below Wall St target ($6.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.33 -
$4.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.67
(13.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.07
Resistance Level
$5.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.90
Wall Street Target
$6.83
(+39.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.9%
Profit Margin
-14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 33.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.96
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.56
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→34)
$5.73
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 85.7%)
$17.20
(+252%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 85.7%)
$16.50
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: 85.7%)
$14.03
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.9 to 33.6
Stabilization Target:
$7.86
(+60.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Derrick D Dockery
SELL
4100 shares
2026-03-19
Edward Hutchinson Jr. Ro…
SELL
64527 shares
2026-03-18
Edward Hutchinson Jr. Ro…
SELL
37096 shares
2026-03-17
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