Tilly's (TLYS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLYS - Tilly's Inc.
$4.44
-0.16 (-3.48%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.53%
30d:
+7.51%
90d:
+17.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TLYS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TLYS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLYS is currently trading at $4.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.27 to $4.70.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLYS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $4.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: TLYS scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.50 (+23.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLYS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $4.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: TLYS scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.50 (+23.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.27 -
$4.70
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.9% below Wall St target ($5.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.27 -
$4.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$0.62
(13.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.40
Resistance Level
$4.90
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-5.69
Wall Street Target
$5.50
(+23.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.0%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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