TLYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TLYS - Tilly's Inc.

RETAIL-APPAREL & ACCESSORY STORES
$3.87
-0.09 (-2.27%) ▼
5d: -6.07%
30d: -15.13%
90d: -24.85%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TLYS shows balanced signals. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly. Monitor for clearer direction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TLYS is currently trading at $3.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.96 to $4.67.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TLYS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: TLYS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.50 (+42.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $3.96 - $4.67
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 42.1% below Wall St target ($5.50)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.1% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.96 - $4.67
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.66 (17.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.85
Resistance Level $4.45
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 20, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -4.96
Wall Street Target $5.50 (+42.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -97.4%
Profit Margin -0.6%
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Last updated: July 21, 2026 4:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shay Capital Llc SELL 20000 shares 2026-03-20
Shay Capital Llc SELL 1025000 shares 2026-03-12

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