TUYA
Tuya Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
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TUYA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$1.62
-0.03 (-2.12%)
▼
5d:
-0.92%
30d:
-4.44%
90d:
-11.26%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$1.62 – $1.70
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.2x
CHEAP
vs 15.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$3.17
+92.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$1.56 / $1.69
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TUYA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TUYA is currently trading at $1.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.62 to $1.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TUYA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.56, while resistance sits at $1.69.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.17 (+92.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TUYA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.56, while resistance sits at $1.69.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.17 (+92.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$1.62 -
$1.70
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$1.62 -
$1.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$1.56
Resistance Level
$1.69
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 92.0% below Wall St target ($3.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.22
Wall Street Target
$3.17
(+92.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.0%
Profit Margin
20.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 15.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.53
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$1.41
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$1.31
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$1.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.5%)
$3.82
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 12.5%)
$2.35
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$2.00
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.11
Bull Case
$2.21
(+34%)
Analyst growth 22.7%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$2.01
(+22%)
Market implied 22.7%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$1.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$2.08
(+26.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TUYA)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Mar 18, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on TUYA are bullish (sentiment score +0.79) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TUYA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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