Grupo Televisa (TV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TV - Grupo Televisa S.A.
$2.25
-0.03 (-1.32%)
▼
5d:
-5.86%
30d:
-14.77%
90d:
-14.77%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.46
58.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TV is currently trading at $2.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.30 to $2.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.9) compared to its historical average (1.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 227.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Implied Volatility is high (87th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.80 (+68.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Implied Volatility is high (87th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.80 (+68.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.30 -
$2.69
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
87th percentile
(EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 87th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 68.9% below Wall St target ($3.80)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.30 -
$2.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.34
(15.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.22
Resistance Level
$2.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.90
Wall Street Target
$3.80
(+68.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
227.3%
Profit Margin
-16.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.9 vs 1.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.82
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.64
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→2)
$3.29
(+46%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 88.1%)
$52.52
(+2234%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.9, Growth: 88.1%)
$2.31
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.8, Growth: 88.1%)
$1.96
(-13%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.9 to 1.8
Stabilization Target:
$4.51
(+100.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+100.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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