TYL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TYL - Tyler Technologies, Inc.
$309.60
-13.71 (-4.24%)
▼
5d:
+4.19%
30d:
+2.63%
90d:
-9.25%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TYL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TYL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$583.29
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$362.18
14.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TYL is currently trading at $309.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $289.02 to $321.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.8) compared to its historical average (26.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TYL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $282.82, while resistance sits at $348.62. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: TYL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $435.36 (+34.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TYL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $282.82, while resistance sits at $348.62. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: TYL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $435.36 (+34.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$289.02 -
$321.14
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TYL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.7% below Wall St target ($435.36)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$289.02 -
$321.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$282.82
Resistance Level
$348.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.79
Wall Street Target
$435.36
(+34.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
13.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 26.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$304.56
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$286.89
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$270.25
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→26)
$322.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.1%)
$492.83
(+52%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 15.1%)
$470.57
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 15.1%)
$399.99
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.24
Bull Case
$733.70
(+137%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 50.7
Base Case
$667.00
(+115%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 46.1
Bear Case
$226.78
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.8 to 26.0
Stabilization Target:
$385.70
(+19.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TYL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
4
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
Glenn A Carter
SELL
1624 shares
2026-03-12
Jeffrey David Puckett
SELL
5174 shares
2026-03-05
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