Tyler Technologies (TYL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TYL - Tyler Technologies, Inc.
$336.67
1.19 (0.35%)
▲
5d:
-11.23%
30d:
+5.99%
90d:
+13.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TYL is down 11.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TYL is down 11.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$632.31
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$392.62
14.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TYL is currently trading at $336.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $317.96 to $364.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.9) compared to its historical average (25.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TYL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $333.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TYL scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $426.64 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TYL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $333.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TYL scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $426.64 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$317.96 -
$364.47
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TYL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($426.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$317.96 -
$364.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$21.31
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$333.34
Resistance Level
$393.53
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.93
Wall Street Target
$426.64
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.9 vs 25.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$319.84
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$303.84
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$288.65
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→26)
$335.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 17.2%)
$541.95
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.2%)
$498.44
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 17.2%)
$423.68
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.45
Bull Case
$738.06
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.5
Base Case
$670.96
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.0
Bear Case
$228.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.9 to 25.5
Stabilization Target:
$391.47
(+16.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TYL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TYL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TYL price and gamma walls.
