URBN
Urban Outfitters Inc
RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES
Urban Outfitters (URBN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$84.80
-1.20 (-1.40%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.16%
30d:
+0.14%
90d:
+8.98%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (46%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$83.09 â $89.75
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.8x
FAIR
vs 13.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$90.36
+6.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$83.99 / $93.64
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: URBN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.97
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: URBN is currently trading at $84.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.09 to $89.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URBN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: URBN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URBN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: URBN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$83.09 -
$89.75
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$83.09 -
$89.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$83.99
Resistance Level
$93.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($90.36)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.78
Wall Street Target
$90.36
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
75.9%
Profit Margin
8.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.94
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$91.19
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$94.57
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$85.10
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$148.38
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 9.2%)
$110.42
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 9.2%)
$93.86
(+11%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.39
Bull Case
$85.90
(0%)
Analyst growth -10.2%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$78.09
(-9%)
Market implied -10.2%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$59.14
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (URBN)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates $URBN on StockTwits as investors rotate out of chip stocks and away from the sector, according to a Yahoo Finance article.
Key Retail Themes:
investor rotation
chip stocks
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is URBN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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