Urban Outfitters (URBN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
URBN - Urban Outfitters Inc
$78.58
2.98 (3.94%)
â˛
5d:
-2.48%
30d:
+1.43%
90d:
+1.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: URBN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: URBN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.60
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: URBN is currently trading at $78.58, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.49 to $80.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URBN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.18, while resistance sits at $82.74. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: URBN scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.43 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URBN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.18, while resistance sits at $82.74. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: URBN scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.43 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$75.49 -
$80.19
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($89.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.49 -
$80.19
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.18
Resistance Level
$82.74
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.70
Wall Street Target
$89.43
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
75.9%
Profit Margin
8.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.99
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$81.43
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$82.90
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$78.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.2%)
$150.70
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 9.2%)
$102.33
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 9.2%)
$86.98
(+11%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.22
Bull Case
$76.71
(-2%)
Analyst growth -7.8%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case
$69.74
(-11%)
Market implied -7.8%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$51.41
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is URBN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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