URBN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
URBN - Urban Outfitters Inc
$74.24
1.59 (2.19%)
â˛
5d:
-4.59%
30d:
+6.65%
90d:
+0.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: URBN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: URBN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.81
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: URBN is currently trading at $74.24, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.16 to $77.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URBN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $71.84, while resistance sits at $79.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.69 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, URBN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $71.84, while resistance sits at $79.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.69 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$72.16 -
$77.77
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($87.69)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.16 -
$77.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.85
Resistance Level
$79.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.94
Wall Street Target
$87.69
(+18.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Profit Margin
7.5%
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.24
(0%)
2-Year Target
$74.24
(0%)
3-Year Target
$74.24
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$74.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.2%)
$149.95
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$96.67
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 9.2%)
$82.17
(+11%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.08
Bull Case
$90.26
(+22%)
Analyst growth 12.9%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$82.05
(+11%)
Market implied 12.9%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$49.40
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is URBN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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