USLM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
USLM - United States Lime & Minerals
$111.74
1.44 (1.31%)
▲
5d:
-2.39%
30d:
+3.94%
90d:
+1.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: USLM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: USLM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.51
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.78
7.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USLM is currently trading at $111.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.93 to $110.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USLM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $104.96, while resistance sits at $119.06.
Market Sentiment: USLM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.00 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USLM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $104.96, while resistance sits at $119.06.
Market Sentiment: USLM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.00 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$101.93 -
$110.89
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
4th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 4th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($130.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$101.93 -
$110.89
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.76
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$104.96
Resistance Level
$119.06
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.13
Wall Street Target
$130.00
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.2%
Profit Margin
35.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 21.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.82
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$102.12
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$97.63
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→22)
$111.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.6%)
$177.57
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 13.6%)
$163.89
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 13.6%)
$139.31
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.67
Bull Case
$151.73
(+36%)
Analyst growth 25.1%, PE expands to 26.0
Base Case
$137.93
(+23%)
Market implied 25.1%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case
$75.00
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.1 to 21.9
Stabilization Target:
$127.90
(+14.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 9:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USLM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced USLM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's USLM price and gamma walls.