USLM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

USLM - United States Lime & Minerals

MINING & QUARRYING OF NONMETALLIC MINERALS (NO FUELS)
$107.18
1.35 (1.28%) ▲
5d: -2.1%
30d: +1.08%
90d: -13.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: USLM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$200.73
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.64
14.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: USLM is currently trading at $107.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.84 to $110.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, USLM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $104.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.00 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $104.84 - $110.96
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 41th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.9%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 41th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($130.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $104.84 - $110.96
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$6.42 (6.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $104.41
Resistance Level $115.48
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.35
Wall Street Target $130.00 (+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.9%
Profit Margin 35.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.4 vs 22.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $100.00 (-7%)
2-Year Target $93.30 (-13%)
3-Year Target $87.05 (-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→23) $107.19 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.6%) $186.56 (+74%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 13.6%) $157.20 (+47%)
Bear: (PE: 15.6, Growth: 13.6%) $133.62 (+25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.54
Bull Case $157.23 (+49%)
Analyst growth 28.6%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case $142.94 (+35%)
Market implied 28.6%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case $75.56 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 22.6
Stabilization Target: $131.98 (+23.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +23.1%
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced USLM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's USLM price and gamma walls.

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