USLM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
USLM - United States Lime & Minerals
$104.01
0.68 (0.66%)
▲
5d:
+4.16%
30d:
-1.83%
90d:
-24.95%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: USLM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: USLM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.18
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.43
15.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USLM is currently trading at $104.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.81 to $109.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (22.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USLM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $104.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.00 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USLM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $104.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.00 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$101.81 -
$109.36
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
41th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 41th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.0% below Wall St target ($130.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$101.81 -
$109.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.23
(6.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$104.41
Resistance Level
$115.48
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.81
Wall Street Target
$130.00
(+25.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.9%
Profit Margin
35.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 22.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.63
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$89.76
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$83.39
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→22)
$103.95
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$186.56
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$152.55
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 13.6%)
$129.67
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.54
Bull Case
$143.03
(+38%)
Analyst growth 28.6%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$130.02
(+25%)
Market implied 28.6%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$68.73
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 22.2
Stabilization Target:
$129.65
(+24.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USLM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced USLM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's USLM price and gamma walls.