Vodafone Group (VOD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VOD - Vodafone Group PLC
$16.78
0.39 (2.41%)
▲
5d:
+0.93%
30d:
+4.39%
90d:
+28.25%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.14
Based on -11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VOD is currently trading at $16.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.10 to $17.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.3) is in line with its historical norms (19.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VOD scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VOD scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.10 -
$17.22
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.64)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.6% growth with 7.3% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 14% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.10 -
$17.22
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.15
Resistance Level
$17.08
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.33
Wall Street Target
$15.64
(-4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.4%
Profit Margin
-1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 19.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.81
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$17.24
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$17.69
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.3, Growth: -26.2%)
$11.94
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -26.2%)
$11.42
(-30%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -26.2%)
$9.71
(-41%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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