Vodafone Group (VOD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VOD - Vodafone Group PLC

Radiotelephone Communications
$17.40
0.07 (0.40%) ▲
5d: +4.95%
30d: +8.14%
90d: +14.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VOD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.06
Based on -11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.00
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VOD is currently trading at $17.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.71 to $16.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.7) compared to its historical average (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: VOD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $15.71 - $16.74
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($16.08)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with 7.3% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $15.71 - $16.74
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.89
Resistance Level $17.50
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.66
Wall Street Target $16.08 (-7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.4%
Profit Margin -1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.0% premium
PE vs Historical 22.7 vs 19.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $18.27 (+5%)
2-Year Target $19.18 (+10%)
3-Year Target $20.14 (+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→20) PE COMPRESSION $17.43 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.7, Growth: -26.2%) $12.68 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -26.2%) $11.29 (-35%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -26.2%) $9.60 (-45%)
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Net
NEUTRAL

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