WBS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WBS - Webster Financial Corporation Waterbury
$77.22
-0.08 (-0.10%)
▼
5d:
+1.51%
30d:
+0.77%
90d:
+6.72%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WBS is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: WBS is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.81
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WBS is currently trading at $77.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.69 to $76.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WBS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WBS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$75.69 -
$76.90
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($75.42)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.69 -
$76.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.34
Resistance Level
$77.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.74
Wall Street Target
$75.42
(-2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Profit Margin
36.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.77
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$82.40
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$85.12
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.86
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.8%)
$208.01
(+169%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 11.8%)
$107.79
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 11.8%)
$91.62
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.14
Bull Case
$99.55
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.1%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$90.50
(+17%)
Market implied 17.1%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$52.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WBS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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