WEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WEN - The Wendy's Company

RETAIL-EATING & DRINKING PLACES
$7.80
0.04 (0.45%) ▲
5d: +3.93%
30d: +12.16%
90d: +12.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026 17d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 8.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.91
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.16
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WEN is currently trading at $7.79, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.83 to $8.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WEN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $7.34, while resistance sits at $8.72.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $6.83 - $8.14
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($7.78)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with 3.3% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.83 - $8.14
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.34
Resistance Level $8.72
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jul 17, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.14
Wall Street Target $7.78 (+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -37.2%
Profit Margin 6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.7% premium
PE vs Historical 12.1 vs 10.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.12 (+5%)
2-Year Target $8.51 (+10%)
3-Year Target $8.91 (+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→11) PE COMPRESSION $7.77 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.0, Growth: 11.9%) $18.83 (+143%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 11.9%) $10.88 (+40%)
Bear: (PE: 10.3, Growth: 11.9%) $9.25 (+19%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case $6.79 (-12%)
Analyst growth -21.1%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case $6.18 (-20%)
Market implied -21.1%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case $5.32 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 20, 2026 1:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:44 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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