WRB W.R. Berkley Corporation FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE Best Insurance Stocks 2026 →

W.R. Berkley (WRB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$76.67
-0.16 (-0.21%) ▼
5d: -0.05% 30d: +4.24% 90d: +8.8%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
33/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$71.76 – $75.86
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.8x FAIR
vs 14.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$69.18
-9.8% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$72.14 / $79.26
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WRB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.05
Based on 1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.98
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WRB is currently trading at $76.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.76 to $75.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WRB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.14, while resistance sits at $79.26.

Market Sentiment: WRB scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $71.76 - $75.86
Company Quality Score 33/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $71.76 - $75.86
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $72.14
Resistance Level $79.26
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($69.18)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with -0.8% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.80
Wall Street Target $69.18 (-9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.9%
Profit Margin 12.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.9% premium
PE vs Historical 15.8 vs 14.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $78.89 (+3%)
2-Year Target $81.18 (+6%)
3-Year Target $83.54 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $76.66 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.9%) $90.94 (+19%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: -1.9%) $72.35 (-6%)
Bear: (PE: 13.4, Growth: -1.9%) $61.50 (-20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.73
Bull Case $86.70 (+13%)
Analyst growth 2.6%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case $78.82 (+3%)
Market implied 2.6%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case $52.24 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WRB)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 22, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Traders on StockTwits express bullish sentiment towards $WRB, with one message expressing excitement about the stock's recent rebound.
Key Retail Themes: rebound optimism
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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