W.R. Berkley (WRB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WRB - W.R. Berkley Corporation

FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
$75.55
1.21 (1.63%) ▲
5d: +2.14%
30d: +11.64%
90d: +0.12%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 19, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WRB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.96
Based on 1.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.92
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WRB is currently trading at $75.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.17 to $73.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WRB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: WRB scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $68.17 - $73.36
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($69.24)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with -0.8% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $68.17 - $73.36
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $71.68
Resistance Level $75.88
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.52
Wall Street Target $69.24 (-8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.9%
Profit Margin 12.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.4% premium
PE vs Historical 15.5 vs 14.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $77.36 (+2%)
2-Year Target $79.22 (+5%)
3-Year Target $81.12 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→14) PE COMPRESSION $75.26 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.8%) $91.60 (+21%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: -1.8%) $71.59 (-5%)
Bear: (PE: 13.2, Growth: -1.8%) $60.85 (-20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.73
Bull Case $84.15 (+11%)
Analyst growth 2.9%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case $76.50 (+1%)
Market implied 2.9%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case $50.55 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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