WWD Woodward, Inc. ELECTRICAL INDUSTRIAL APPARATUS

Woodward (WWD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$331.90
-6.65 (-1.96%) â–ŧ
5d: +8.16% 30d: +1.03% 90d: -10.43%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (54%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$311.43 – $334.40
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
31.5x FAIR
vs 34.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$420.50
+24.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$301.67 / $341.97
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: WWD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$406.89
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$252.65
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WWD is currently trading at $331.90, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $311.43 to $334.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.5) is in line with its historical norms (34.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WWD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $301.67, while resistance sits at $341.97.

Market Sentiment: WWD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $420.50 (+24.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $311.43 - $334.40
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $311.43 - $334.40
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$22.26 (6.7%)
Support Level $301.67
Resistance Level $341.97
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.2% below Wall St target ($420.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 31.49
Wall Street Target $420.50 (+24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 36.4%
Profit Margin 13.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 31.5 vs 34.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $327.38 (-3%)
2-Year Target $316.57 (-7%)
3-Year Target $306.13 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→35) $338.27 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 31.5, Growth: 13.4%) $493.78 (+46%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.4%) $311.39 (-8%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.4%) $264.68 (-22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.02
Bull Case $438.04 (+29%)
Analyst growth 19.2%, PE expands to 40.8
Base Case $398.21 (+18%)
Market implied 19.2%, PE stable at 37.0
Bear Case $227.21 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.5 to 34.8
Stabilization Target: $374.10 (+10.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +10.5%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WWD)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish StockTwit message predicts $WWD will reach $1000 by year-end, but there are currently no relevant news articles.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish price prediction
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive WWD Research Pages
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