WWD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WWD - Woodward, Inc.

ELECTRICAL INDUSTRIAL APPARATUS
$396.93
-9.47 (-2.33%) ▼
5d: -6.27%
30d: +8.08%
90d: +2.18%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026 12d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WWD is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$423.04
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$262.67
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WWD is currently trading at $396.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $385.05 to $431.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.7) is in line with its historical norms (36.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WWD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $393.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $450.45 (+13.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $385.05 - $431.58
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 22th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 76.5%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 22th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($450.45)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.3% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $385.05 - $431.58
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$27.97 (7.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $393.90
Resistance Level $432.57
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 36.73
Wall Street Target $450.45 (+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 23.0%
Profit Margin 12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium
PE vs Historical 36.7 vs 36.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $398.52 (+0%)
2-Year Target $400.11 (+1%)
3-Year Target $401.71 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 37→36) PE COMPRESSION $397.02 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 36.7, Growth: 14.9%) $601.60 (+52%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.9%) $356.75 (-10%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.9%) $303.23 (-24%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.33
Bull Case $579.97 (+46%)
Analyst growth 29.7%, PE expands to 53.7
Base Case $527.25 (+33%)
Market implied 29.7%, PE stable at 48.8
Bear Case $276.35 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles P Blankenship SELL 2625 shares 2026-03-10
Charles P Blankenship SELL 5000 shares 2026-03-09
Charles P Blankenship SELL 5000 shares 2026-03-05

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