XPOF
Xponential Fitness, Inc.
SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION
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Xponential Fitness (XPOF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.74
+0.15 (+3.27%)
â˛
5d:
+4.64%
30d:
-1.66%
90d:
-2.67%
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Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (49%)
Quality Score
29/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$4.18 â $4.80
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.2x
FAIR
vs 7.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$5.30
+15.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.58 / $5.12
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: XPOF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.21
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: XPOF is currently trading at $4.74, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.18 to $4.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XPOF is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.58, while resistance sits at $5.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: XPOF scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.30 (+15.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XPOF is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.58, while resistance sits at $5.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: XPOF scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.30 (+15.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$4.18 -
$4.80
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$4.18 -
$4.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$3.58
Resistance Level
$5.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding XPOF? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.30)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with -21.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.20
Wall Street Target
$5.30
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-21.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.7%
Profit Margin
-12.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.68
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$4.78
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$4.87
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 96.8%)
$37.54
(+718%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 96.8%)
$15.49
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 96.8%)
$13.17
(+187%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (XPOF)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bloomberg reported that Fund 1 Investments LLC is considering a $5.61-$7.00 per share cash bid to privatize Xponential Fitness. No recent bearish news was identified.
Key Retail Themes:
buyout speculation
privatization
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 11:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is XPOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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