XPOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
XPOF - Xponential Fitness, Inc.
$6.52
-0.01 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
+3.16%
30d:
-6.05%
90d:
-0.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: XPOF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: XPOF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.43
12.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: XPOF is currently trading at $6.52, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.43 to $6.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XPOF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $5.92, while resistance sits at $7.01.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.21 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XPOF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $5.92, while resistance sits at $7.01.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.21 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$6.43 -
$6.99
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.21)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with -21.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.43 -
$6.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.92
Resistance Level
$7.01
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.49
Wall Street Target
$7.21
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-21.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.7%
Profit Margin
-12.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.64
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$6.77
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$6.90
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.50
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 64.9%)
$53.74
(+724%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 64.9%)
$22.00
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 64.9%)
$18.70
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is XPOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced XPOF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's XPOF price and gamma walls.
