YSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YSG - Yatsen Holding Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing twenty (20) Class A Ordinary Shares
$3.51
-0.11 (-3.04%)
▼
5d:
-0.57%
30d:
+15.84%
90d:
+10.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: YSG trades at premium valuation expecting 4.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: YSG trades at premium valuation expecting 4.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.64
3.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YSG is currently trading at $3.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.05 to $3.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 1.2) compared to its historical average (1.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.65, while resistance sits at $3.84. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: YSG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.00 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.65, while resistance sits at $3.84. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: YSG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.00 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.05 -
$3.49
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($4.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.05 -
$3.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.65
Resistance Level
$3.84
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.17
Wall Street Target
$4.00
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.5%
Profit Margin
-3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
1.2 vs 1.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.66
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$3.81
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$3.97
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.41
(-3%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 92.9%)
$221.26
(+6204%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.2, Growth: 92.9%)
$11.85
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.0, Growth: 92.9%)
$10.07
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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