YSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YSG - Yatsen Holding Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing twenty (20) Class A Ordinary Shares
$2.64
-0.09 (-3.30%)
âŧ
5d:
+3.94%
30d:
+4.35%
90d:
-25.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: YSG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 28.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: YSG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 28.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.83
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YSG is currently trading at $2.64, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.52 to $2.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 2.4) compared to its historical average (1.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 28.0% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.40, while resistance sits at $2.92. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: YSG scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.76 (+42.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.40, while resistance sits at $2.92. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: YSG scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.76 (+42.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$2.52 -
$2.86
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.3% below Wall St target ($3.76)
- BEARISH: Market expects 28.0% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.52 -
$2.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.40
Resistance Level
$2.92
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.42
Wall Street Target
$3.76
(+42.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Profit Margin
-4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+28.0% premium
PE vs Historical
2.4 vs 1.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+28.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.38
(+28%)
2-Year Target
$4.33
(+64%)
3-Year Target
$5.54
(+110%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â1)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.74
(+4%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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