YSG Yatsen Holding Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing twenty (20) Class A Ordinary Shares Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations Best Cosmetics Stocks 2026 →

YSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$1.92
-0.01 (-0.52%) ▼
5d: -5.88% 30d: -20.66% 90d: -43.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (90%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$2.04 – $2.61
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
1.8x STRETCHED
vs 1.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$3.77
+96.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$1.67 / $2.48
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: YSG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.99
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.23
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: YSG is currently trading at $1.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.04 to $2.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 1.8) compared to its historical average (1.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.67, while resistance sits at $2.48.

Market Sentiment: YSG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.77 (+96.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $2.04 - $2.61
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 89.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $2.04 - $2.61
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $1.67
Resistance Level $2.48
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 96.6% below Wall St target ($3.77)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.8% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 1.76
Wall Street Target $3.77 (+96.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.1%
Profit Margin -4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +10.8% premium
PE vs Historical 1.8 vs 1.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +10.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.13 (+11%)
2-Year Target $2.36 (+23%)
3-Year Target $2.61 (+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 2→1) PE COMPRESSION $1.93 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (YSG)

Bearish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Aug 3, 2022
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on YSG are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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