YSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YSG - Yatsen Holding Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing twenty (20) Class A Ordinary Shares
$3.38
-0.05 (-1.46%)
▼
5d:
-0.29%
30d:
-2.59%
90d:
+11.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: YSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: YSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.64
7.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YSG is currently trading at $3.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.29 to $3.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 1.1) compared to its historical average (1.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $3.19, while resistance sits at $3.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.02 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $3.19, while resistance sits at $3.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.02 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$3.29 -
$3.58
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($4.02)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.29 -
$3.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.20
Resistance Level
$3.66
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.14
Wall Street Target
$4.02
(+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.5%
Profit Margin
-3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
1.1 vs 1.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.53
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$3.64
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$3.75
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.29
(-4%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 92.9%)
$210.59
(+6040%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.1, Growth: 92.9%)
$11.58
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.0, Growth: 92.9%)
$9.84
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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