Yum! Brands (YUM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$160.21
-0.67 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
+2.04%
30d:
+9.17%
90d:
+6.57%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$143.23 – $158.77
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.8x
FAIR
vs 21.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$174.87
+9.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$148.56 / $168.68
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: YUM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$179.47
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YUM is currently trading at $160.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $143.23 to $158.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.8) compared to its historical average (21.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YUM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $148.56, while resistance sits at $168.68.
Market Sentiment: YUM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YUM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $148.56, while resistance sits at $168.68.
Market Sentiment: YUM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$143.23 -
$158.77
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$143.23 -
$158.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$148.56
Resistance Level
$168.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding YUM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($174.87)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.81
Wall Street Target
$174.87
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
319.9%
Profit Margin
39.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 21.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$166.14
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$172.28
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$178.66
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$159.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 5.2%)
$186.50
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.2%)
$155.57
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 5.2%)
$132.23
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.42
Bull Case
$95.88
(-40%)
Analyst growth -45.8%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$87.17
(-46%)
Market implied -45.8%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$109.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (YUM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Chipotle reported Q3 earnings that beat sales estimates but missed EPS expectations, causing a bullish reaction on StockTwits. The company needs transactions at existing locations to grow by around 1% to maintain profitability as it continues to open new restaurants.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings report
company growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YUM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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