ZUMZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZUMZ - Zumiez Inc.
$18.27
0.80 (4.58%)
▲
5d:
-1.98%
30d:
-2.77%
90d:
-22.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
9d
Get Alerted When ZUMZ Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ZUMZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ZUMZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.59
38.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZUMZ is currently trading at $18.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.37 to $19.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZUMZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.26, while resistance sits at $20.30. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+20.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZUMZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.26, while resistance sits at $20.30. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+20.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.37 -
$19.84
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.2% below Wall St target ($21.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.37 -
$19.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.26
Resistance Level
$20.31
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.28
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.1%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 22.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.72
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.15
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.74
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→23)
$17.84
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 40.3%)
$59.49
(+241%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 40.3%)
$48.25
(+176%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 40.3%)
$41.01
(+135%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.76
Bull Case
$28.41
(+56%)
Analyst growth 41.2%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$25.82
(+41%)
Market implied 41.2%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$12.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 22.8
Stabilization Target:
$24.47
(+40.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 5:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ZUMZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chris K Visser
SELL
9974 shares
2026-04-01
Top Rated Apparel Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. |
BUY
36 analysts |
$128 | 39 SELL |
|
TJX
The TJX Companies Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$173 | 42 HOLD |
|
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$222 | 57 HOLD |
|
ROST
Ross Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$270 | 43 HOLD |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$386 | 51 HOLD |
