ZUMZ
Zumiez Inc.
RETAIL-APPAREL & ACCESSORY STORES
Zumiez (ZUMZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$14.00
-0.09 (-0.64%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.28%
30d:
-3.05%
90d:
-22.31%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$13.87 â $14.78
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.0x
CHEAP
vs 20.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$21.00
+50.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$13.82 / $16.15
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ZUMZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -14.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.73
47.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZUMZ is currently trading at $14.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.87 to $14.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZUMZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ZUMZ scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+50.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZUMZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ZUMZ scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+50.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.87 -
$14.78
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$13.87 -
$14.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$13.82
Resistance Level
$16.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.0% below Wall St target ($21.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.04
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+50.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.1%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 20.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.34
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.21
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â21)
$16.12
(+15%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 40.3%)
$58.87
(+321%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 40.3%)
$38.66
(+176%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 40.3%)
$32.86
(+135%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.69
Bull Case
$24.11
(+72%)
Analyst growth 55.6%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$21.92
(+57%)
Market implied 55.6%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$9.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$22.11
(+57.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+57.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ZUMZ)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding $ZUMZ, focusing on the company's strong financial position with no long-term debt, significant cash reserves, high yield, and long-term dividend growth.
Key Retail Themes:
Financial Strength
Dividend Growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 6:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZUMZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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