Zumiez (ZUMZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZUMZ - Zumiez Inc.
$14.11
-0.26 (-1.81%)
âŧ
5d:
+1.07%
30d:
+4.99%
90d:
-27.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ZUMZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -14.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ZUMZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -14.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.38
48.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZUMZ is currently trading at $14.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.48 to $14.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZUMZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.52, while resistance sits at $15.13.
Market Sentiment: ZUMZ scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+48.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZUMZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.52, while resistance sits at $15.13.
Market Sentiment: ZUMZ scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+48.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.48 -
$14.32
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.8% below Wall St target ($21.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.48 -
$14.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.52
Resistance Level
$15.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.15
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+48.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.1%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 21.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.70
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.43
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.29
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â21)
$16.51
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 40.3%)
$58.87
(+317%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 40.3%)
$38.97
(+176%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 40.3%)
$33.12
(+135%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.69
Bull Case
$24.59
(+74%)
Analyst growth 55.6%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$22.35
(+58%)
Market implied 55.6%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$9.77
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 21.1
Stabilization Target:
$22.65
(+60.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 9:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZUMZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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