AAOI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAOI - Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $135.63 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AAOI is down 11.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAOI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $118.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.40 (+33.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.7% below Wall St target ($163.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
Support & Resistance Levels
Fundamental Context
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 AM
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Advanced AAOI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AAOI price and gamma walls.
