ACR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACR - ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.
$17.50
-0.14 (-0.79%)
▼
5d:
-0.85%
30d:
-3.26%
90d:
-17.02%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.07
20.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACR is currently trading at $17.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.38 to $18.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.4) is in line with its historical norms (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 272.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+40.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+40.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$17.38 -
$18.04
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.0% below Wall St target ($24.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.38 -
$18.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.15
Resistance Level
$18.67
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.44
Wall Street Target
$24.50
(+40.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
272.2%
Profit Margin
29.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.4 vs 23.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.26
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$17.01
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$16.78
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→23)
$17.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 34.5%)
$42.56
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 34.5%)
$39.33
(+125%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 34.5%)
$33.43
(+91%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$23.28
(+33%)
Analyst growth 20.0%, PE expands to 29.9
Base Case
$21.17
(+21%)
Market implied 20.0%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$12.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.4 to 23.4
Stabilization Target:
$18.25
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
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