ACR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACR - ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.
$14.79
0.17 (1.16%)
▲
5d:
+3.79%
30d:
-15.15%
90d:
-24.23%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ACR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.33
55.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACR is currently trading at $14.79, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.51 to $17.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 272.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.83, while resistance sits at $15.28.
Market Sentiment: ACR scores 96/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.00 (+55.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.83, while resistance sits at $15.28.
Market Sentiment: ACR scores 96/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.00 (+55.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.51 -
$17.64
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (96/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.5% below Wall St target ($23.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.51 -
$17.64
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.83
Resistance Level
$15.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.07
Wall Street Target
$23.00
(+55.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
272.2%
Profit Margin
16.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 22.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.31
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.98
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.78
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→23)
$20.09
(+36%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 410.4%)
$82.98
(+461%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 410.4%)
$49.92
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 410.4%)
$42.43
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 22.5
Stabilization Target:
$27.56
(+86.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+86.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
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