ADEA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADEA - Adeia Inc. Common Stock
$25.95
-0.96 (-3.57%)
▼
5d:
+2.25%
30d:
-13.67%
90d:
-13.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
6d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADEA is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ADEA is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.92
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADEA is currently trading at $25.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.11 to $31.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.37, while resistance sits at $28.87. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADEA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+42.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.37, while resistance sits at $28.87. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADEA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+42.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$27.11 -
$31.58
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.6% below Wall St target ($37.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.11 -
$31.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.37
Resistance Level
$28.87
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.76
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+42.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
26.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.39
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$26.84
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$27.30
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$41.74
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$33.62
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 9.0%)
$28.57
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.09
Bull Case
$42.05
(+62%)
Analyst growth 42.0%, PE expands to 27.2
Base Case
$38.22
(+47%)
Market implied 42.0%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$18.30
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 27, 2026 1:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADEA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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