ADI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADI - Analog Devices, Inc.
$397.17
5.39 (1.38%)
▲
5d:
-2.48%
30d:
-4.03%
90d:
+31.04%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$644.31
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$400.06
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADI is currently trading at $397.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $398.91 to $427.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.9) is in line with its historical norms (27.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $382.82, while resistance sits at $445.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $452.33 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $382.82, while resistance sits at $445.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $452.33 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$398.91 -
$427.53
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($452.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$398.91 -
$427.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$382.82
Resistance Level
$445.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.87
Wall Street Target
$452.33
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
110.5%
Profit Margin
26.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.9 vs 27.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$393.60
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$390.05
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$386.54
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→28)
$397.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.9, Growth: 19.8%)
$682.50
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.8%)
$553.22
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 19.8%)
$470.24
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 31.55 | Forward EPS (Implied): $12.59
Bull Case
$479.58
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case
$397.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$303.84
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 28.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.9 to 27.6
Stabilization Target:
$407.96
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 01, 2026 1:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Vincent Roche
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-01
Richard McCormick
SELL
2026-03-19
Michael Sondel
SELL
4199 shares
2026-02-25
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