ADI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADI - Analog Devices, Inc.
$381.17
-3.26 (-0.85%)
âŧ
5d:
+1.02%
30d:
-2.5%
90d:
-11.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
4d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $389.93 · last confirmed Aug 13, 2026
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$675.18
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$419.24
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADI is currently trading at $381.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $369.69 to $389.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.3) is in line with its historical norms (27.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $353.11, while resistance sits at $396.26.
Market Sentiment: ADI scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $457.73 (+20.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $353.11, while resistance sits at $396.26.
Market Sentiment: ADI scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $457.73 (+20.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$369.69 -
$389.58
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ADI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($457.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$369.69 -
$389.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$353.11
Resistance Level
$396.26
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.31
Wall Street Target
$457.73
(+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
110.5%
Profit Margin
26.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.3 vs 27.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$372.02
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$363.09
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$354.38
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25â27)
$380.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.3, Growth: 21.1%)
$677.51
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 21.1%)
$541.61
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 21.1%)
$460.37
(+21%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.18 | Forward EPS (Implied): $14.56
Bull Case
$460.26
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.5
Base Case
$381.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.2
Bear Case
$291.60
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.3 to 27.2
Stabilization Target:
$409.70
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 14, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Vincent Roche
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-01
Richard McCormick
SELL
2026-03-19
Michael Sondel
SELL
4199 shares
2026-02-25
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Advanced ADI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ADI price and gamma walls.
