Analog Devices (ADI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADI - Analog Devices, Inc.
$403.57
-11.13 (-2.68%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.59%
30d:
+11.68%
90d:
+6.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$795.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$493.84
18.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADI is currently trading at $403.57, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $369.91 to $409.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.7) is in line with its historical norms (26.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 163.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $393.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ADI scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $470.72 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $393.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ADI scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $470.72 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$369.91 -
$409.67
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ADI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($470.72)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$369.91 -
$409.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$393.92
Resistance Level
$422.67
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.70
Wall Street Target
$470.72
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
163.5%
Profit Margin
29.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 26.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$394.29
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$385.22
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$376.36
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25â27)
$403.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 27.2%)
$830.27
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.2%)
$667.49
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 27.2%)
$567.37
(+41%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.42
Bull Case
$885.08
(+119%)
Analyst growth 94.0%, PE expands to 54.2
Base Case
$804.62
(+99%)
Market implied 94.0%, PE stable at 49.3
Bear Case
$282.00
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.7 to 26.5
Stabilization Target:
$432.93
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 14, 2026 11:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ADI price and gamma walls.
