Analog Devices (ADI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADI - Analog Devices, Inc.
$419.79
6.94 (1.68%)
▲
5d:
-1.31%
30d:
+0.16%
90d:
+11.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
19d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 26, 2026 at $405.15 · last confirmed Nov 3, 2026
Strength: 8.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ADI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ADI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$803.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$498.80
15.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADI is currently trading at $419.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $395.71 to $419.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.4) is in line with its historical norms (26.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 163.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $382.00, while resistance sits at $433.72.
Market Sentiment: ADI scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $472.44 (+12.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $382.00, while resistance sits at $433.72.
Market Sentiment: ADI scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $472.44 (+12.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$395.71 -
$419.31
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ADI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($472.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$395.71 -
$419.31
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$382.00
Resistance Level
$433.72
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.44
Wall Street Target
$472.44
(+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
163.5%
Profit Margin
29.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.4 vs 26.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$414.75
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$409.78
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$404.86
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$420.13
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.4, Growth: 28.1%)
$882.92
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.1%)
$689.24
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 28.1%)
$585.86
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.42
Bull Case
$889.98
(+112%)
Analyst growth 96.0%, PE expands to 53.9
Base Case
$809.07
(+93%)
Market implied 96.0%, PE stable at 49.0
Bear Case
$280.74
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.4 to 26.4
Stabilization Target:
$435.62
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 03, 2026 11:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ADI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ADI price and gamma walls.
