Analog Devices (ADI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADI - Analog Devices, Inc.
$385.23
-5.14 (-1.32%)
▼
5d:
+6.41%
30d:
+3.79%
90d:
-6.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $362.25 · last confirmed Sep 18, 2026
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ADI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ADI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$795.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$494.19
22.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADI is currently trading at $385.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $359.58 to $379.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.6) compared to its historical average (26.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 163.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $390.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ADI scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $470.72 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $390.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ADI scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $470.72 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$359.58 -
$379.47
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ADI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($470.72)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$359.58 -
$379.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$356.12
Resistance Level
$390.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.56
Wall Street Target
$470.72
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
163.5%
Profit Margin
29.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.6 vs 26.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$369.82
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$355.03
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$340.83
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→27)
$384.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.6, Growth: 26.8%)
$784.98
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 26.8%)
$678.24
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 26.8%)
$576.50
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.59
Bull Case
$817.23
(+112%)
Analyst growth 90.3%, PE expands to 50.0
Base Case
$742.93
(+93%)
Market implied 90.3%, PE stable at 45.4
Bear Case
$265.45
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.6 to 26.6
Stabilization Target:
$434.86
(+12.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 24, 2026 12:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Vincent Roche
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced ADI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ADI price and gamma walls.
