ADNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares
$19.20
-0.76 (-3.81%)
▼
5d:
-1.08%
30d:
-11.6%
90d:
-5.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.45
30.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $19.20, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.20 to $22.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (6.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.68, while resistance sits at $20.30. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.67 (+64.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.68, while resistance sits at $20.30. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.67 (+64.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$19.20 -
$22.38
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 64.9% below Wall St target ($31.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.20 -
$22.38
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.68
Resistance Level
$20.30
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.84
Wall Street Target
$31.67
(+64.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-76.6%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 6.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.14
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$17.15
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$16.20
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$19.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 53.5%)
$241.86
(+1160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 53.5%)
$64.80
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: 53.5%)
$55.08
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$42.88
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.0
Base Case
$38.98
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.0
Bear Case
$13.25
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 6.9
Stabilization Target:
$22.70
(+18.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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