AGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGI - Alamos Gold Inc. Class A Common Shares
$29.37
0.51 (1.77%)
▲
5d:
-3.77%
30d:
-14.84%
90d:
-39.05%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
13d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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1 traders called AGI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AGI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -13.3% annual earnings decline despite 1145% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AGI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -13.3% annual earnings decline despite 1145% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.47
46.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGI is currently trading at $29.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.65 to $35.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1144.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.16, while resistance sits at $32.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+61.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.16, while resistance sits at $32.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+61.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$29.65 -
$35.43
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 61.7% below Wall St target ($47.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.65 -
$35.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.17
Resistance Level
$32.34
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.87
Wall Street Target
$47.50
(+61.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
79.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1144.7%
Profit Margin
51.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.43
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$23.79
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$21.41
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→14)
$32.84
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 39.7%)
$196.49
(+569%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 39.7%)
$80.00
(+172%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 39.7%)
$68.00
(+132%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$42.76
(+46%)
Analyst growth 32.0%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$38.88
(+32%)
Market implied 32.0%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$20.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$45.05
(+53.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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