AGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGI - Alamos Gold Inc. Class A Common Shares
$29.11
0.41 (1.43%)
▲
5d:
+1.11%
30d:
-7.79%
90d:
-25.47%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
Get Alerted When AGI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AGI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.6% annual earnings decline despite 69% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AGI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.6% annual earnings decline despite 69% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.12
41.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGI is currently trading at $29.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.52 to $30.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 68.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.05, while resistance sits at $31.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.50 (+62.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.05, while resistance sits at $31.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.50 (+62.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$28.52 -
$30.67
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.0% below Wall St target ($46.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.52 -
$30.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.05
Resistance Level
$31.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.14
Wall Street Target
$46.50
(+62.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.8%
Profit Margin
52.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 13.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.83
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$23.25
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$20.92
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$30.22
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 28.5%)
$138.10
(+381%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 28.5%)
$60.88
(+112%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 28.5%)
$51.75
(+80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.79
Bull Case
$34.46
(+20%)
Analyst growth 12.6%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$31.32
(+9%)
Market implied 12.6%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$18.92
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$41.45
(+44.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 10:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Gold Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gold by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NEM
Newmont Goldcorp Corp |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$129 | 52 HOLD |
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limit… |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$215 | 57 HOLD |
|
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$36 | 57 HOLD |
|
B
Barrick Mining Corporati… |
BUY
22 analysts |
$53 | 59 HOLD |
|
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals … |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$172 | 56 HOLD |
Advanced AGI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGI price and gamma walls.
