ALGT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALGT - Allegiant Travel Company
$105.42
1.94 (1.87%)
▲
5d:
+3.78%
30d:
-8.82%
90d:
+46.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When ALGT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALGT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALGT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$231.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$143.57
26.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALGT is currently trading at $105.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.84 to $113.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $108.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.00 (+32.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $108.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.00 (+32.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$98.84 -
$113.63
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($137.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$98.84 -
$113.63
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$90.71
Resistance Level
$108.23
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.54
Wall Street Target
$137.00
(+32.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.6%
Profit Margin
-1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 9.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.93
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$94.57
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$90.41
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$103.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 60.2%)
$847.66
(+719%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 60.2%)
$349.25
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 60.2%)
$296.86
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$118.73
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 3:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ALGT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maurice J Gallagher Jr
SELL
18757 shares
2026-02-10
Maurice J Gallagher Jr
SELL
861 shares
2026-02-10
Maurice J Gallagher Jr
SELL
56243 shares
2026-02-09
Top Rated Airlines Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Airlines by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
UAL
United Airlines Holdings… |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$162 | 55 HOLD |
|
DAL
Delta Air Lines Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$106 | 59 HOLD |
|
AAL
American Airlines Group |
BUY
26 analysts |
$19 | 56 HOLD |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$63 | 58 HOLD |
|
CPA
Copa Holdings SA |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$175 | 59 HOLD |
