ALHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALHC - Alignment Healthcare, Inc. Common Stock
$20.38
0.55 (2.77%)
▲
5d:
-17.02%
30d:
-0.88%
90d:
-0.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
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1 traders called ALHC this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALHC is down 17.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALHC is down 17.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.84
6.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALHC is currently trading at $20.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.38 to $23.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.4) compared to its historical average (36.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALHC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $19.50, while resistance sits at $25.12.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.92 (+25.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALHC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $19.50, while resistance sits at $25.12.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.92 (+25.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.38 -
$23.50
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALHC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.7% below Wall St target ($24.92)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -17.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.38 -
$23.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.50
Resistance Level
$25.12
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.45
Wall Street Target
$24.92
(+25.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.5 vs 36.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.08
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$16.49
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$15.04
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→36)
$19.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.4, Growth: 52.1%)
$66.93
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 52.1%)
$53.11
(+168%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 52.1%)
$45.14
(+128%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.4 to 36.1
Stabilization Target:
$26.08
(+31.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dawn Christine Maroney
SELL
30000 shares
2026-04-15
John E Kao
SELL
82299 shares
2026-04-13
John E Kao
SELL
215701 shares
2026-04-10
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Advanced ALHC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALHC price and gamma walls.
