ALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALL - The Allstate Corporation
$231.55
8.99 (4.04%)
▲
5d:
+4.39%
30d:
+7.98%
90d:
+11.45%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$172.11
Based on -4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$106.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALL is currently trading at $231.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $210.88 to $223.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $232.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $232.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$210.88 -
$223.58
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($240.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$210.88 -
$223.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$214.26
Resistance Level
$232.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.81
Wall Street Target
$240.86
(+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
338.4%
Profit Margin
17.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$235.72
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$239.96
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$244.28
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$230.22
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -12.9%)
$417.46
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: -12.9%)
$168.80
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -12.9%)
$143.48
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $45.21
Bull Case
$141.49
(-36%)
Analyst growth -41.8%, PE expands to 5.4
Base Case
$128.62
(-42%)
Market implied -41.8%, PE stable at 4.9
Bear Case
$150.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
Suren Gupta
SELL
19593 shares
2026-01-07
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