ALV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALV - Autoliv, Inc.
$123.17
-0.99 (-0.80%)
▼
5d:
+4.83%
30d:
+8.67%
90d:
+6.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$193.43
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALV is currently trading at $123.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.63 to $122.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $113.92, while resistance sits at $126.90.
Market Sentiment: ALV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $113.92, while resistance sits at $126.90.
Market Sentiment: ALV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$116.63 -
$122.64
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($134.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$116.63 -
$122.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$113.92
Resistance Level
$126.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.43
Wall Street Target
$134.71
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.5%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$124.28
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$125.40
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$126.53
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$122.47
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 16.5%)
$387.22
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 16.5%)
$194.90
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 16.5%)
$165.67
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.48
Bull Case
$190.12
(+54%)
Analyst growth 39.2%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$172.84
(+40%)
Market implied 39.2%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$84.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 3:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Franz-Josef Kortuem
SELL
8300 shares
2026-02-26
Magnus Jarlegren
SELL
1598 shares
2026-02-25
Christian Swahn
SELL
1478 shares
2026-02-24
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