APA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APA - APA Corporation Common Stock
$34.20
1.17 (3.54%)
▲
5d:
-7.62%
30d:
-13.02%
90d:
-12.55%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.53
Based on -14.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APA is currently trading at $34.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.26 to $39.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.48, while resistance sits at $38.70. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: APA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.24 (+26.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.48, while resistance sits at $38.70. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: APA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.24 (+26.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.26 -
$39.02
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.4% below Wall St target ($43.24)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.26 -
$39.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.49
Resistance Level
$38.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.94
Wall Street Target
$43.24
(+26.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.2%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 10.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.05
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$28.20
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$25.60
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$34.19
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -33.2%)
$68.41
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: -33.2%)
$24.93
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: -33.2%)
$21.19
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.29
Bull Case
$36.49
(+7%)
Analyst growth 0.4%, PE expands to 8.5
Base Case
$33.17
(-3%)
Market implied 0.4%, PE stable at 7.7
Bear Case
$22.46
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$45.67
(+33.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Matthew Regis Bob
SELL
23000 shares
2026-03-18
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