ASIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASIC - Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings
$25.84
0.55 (2.17%)
▲
5d:
+4.62%
30d:
+13.18%
90d:
+25.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASIC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASIC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.94
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIC is currently trading at $25.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.35 to $25.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.10 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.10 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.35 -
$25.14
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.10)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.2% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.35 -
$25.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.68
Resistance Level
$26.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.26
Wall Street Target
$29.10
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.8%
Profit Margin
20.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 8.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.44
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$29.14
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$30.95
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$66.17
(+156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$33.82
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 9.4%)
$28.35
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.23
Bull Case
$31.43
(+22%)
Analyst growth 13.0%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$28.57
(+11%)
Market implied 13.0%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$17.20
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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