ASIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASIC - Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings
$21.58
0.14 (0.65%)
▲
5d:
+4.0%
30d:
+5.01%
90d:
+13.22%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASIC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASIC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.18
10.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIC is currently trading at $21.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.84 to $21.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASIC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.60 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASIC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.60 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.84 -
$21.15
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($26.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.84 -
$21.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.93
Resistance Level
$22.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.63
Wall Street Target
$26.60
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
155.0%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.14
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$22.72
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$23.31
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.7%)
$108.27
(+402%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 25.7%)
$42.91
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 25.7%)
$36.47
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.92
Bull Case
$30.73
(+42%)
Analyst growth 30.2%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$27.94
(+30%)
Market implied 30.2%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$14.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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