ATRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATRO - Astronics Corp
$85.88
3.18 (3.85%)
▲
5d:
+13.75%
30d:
+6.21%
90d:
+26.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ATRO trades at premium valuation expecting 7.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ATRO trades at premium valuation expecting 7.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.85
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATRO is currently trading at $85.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.28 to $88.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.8) compared to its historical average (25.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $73.51, while resistance sits at $99.89. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $73.51, while resistance sits at $99.89. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$79.28 -
$88.46
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
100th percentile
(EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ATRO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 100th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($76.15)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.8% growth expectation is conservative given 154% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.28 -
$88.46
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$19.34
(22.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.51
Resistance Level
$99.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.76
Wall Street Target
$76.15
(-7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
154.2%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
31.8 vs 25.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.15
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$96.10
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$103.60
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.8, Growth: 15.3%)
$126.82
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.3%)
$86.98
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 15.3%)
$73.93
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 27.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.04
Bull Case
$99.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$82.70
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$63.27
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ATRO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATRO price and gamma walls.
