Is ATRO stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ATRO is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: ATRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of ATRO stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ATRO to be between $67.58 and $75.23. The current price is $69.00.

What is the analyst price target for ATRO?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ATRO is $100.50. This implies a potential upside of 47.0% from current levels.

Astronics (ATRO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ATRO - Astronics Corp

AIRCRAFT PARTS & AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT, NEC

$69.00

0.62 (0.91%) ▲

5d: -0.32%

30d: -6.07%

90d: -3.89%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ATRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 15.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$125.42

Based on 9.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$77.88

11.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ATRO is currently trading at $69.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.58 to $75.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.7) compared to its historical average (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2400% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ATRO scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.50 (+47.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $67.58 - $75.23

Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 92.3%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 47.0% below Wall St target ($100.50)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $67.58 - $75.23

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$6.16 (8.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $64.25

Resistance Level $70.41

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.73

Wall Street Target $100.50 (+47.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 27.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 2400.0%

Profit Margin 8.4%

Valuation Discount vs History -5.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 21.7 vs 25.6 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $64.76 (-5%)

2-Year Target $61.32 (-10%)

3-Year Target $58.07 (-15%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→26) $68.43 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 21.7, Growth: 15.7%) $105.95 (+55%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 15.7%) $99.49 (+46%)

Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 15.7%) $84.57 (+24%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 36.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83

Bull Case $127.55 (+87%)

Analyst growth 72.0%, PE expands to 40.5

Base Case $115.96 (+70%)

Market implied 72.0%, PE stable at 36.8

Bear Case $45.85 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.7 to 25.6

Stabilization Target: $80.58 (+17.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +17.8%

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Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 PM

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Advanced ATRO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATRO price and gamma walls.

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