Astronics (ATRO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATRO - Astronics Corp
$73.98
0.49 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
-0.74%
30d:
-15.83%
90d:
-21.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ATRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ATRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$125.42
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.88
5.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATRO is currently trading at $73.98, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.36 to $84.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.5) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2400% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.50 (+35.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.50 (+35.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$72.36 -
$84.51
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
17th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ATRO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 17th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.8% below Wall St target ($100.50)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.36 -
$84.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.55
(7.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.29
Resistance Level
$78.18
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.50
Wall Street Target
$100.50
(+35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2400.0%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.5 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.61
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$69.32
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$67.10
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→26)
$73.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.5, Growth: 15.7%)
$114.63
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.7%)
$98.37
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 15.7%)
$83.61
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
Bull Case
$143.75
(+94%)
Analyst growth 77.8%, PE expands to 45.7
Base Case
$130.68
(+77%)
Market implied 77.8%, PE stable at 41.5
Bear Case
$49.97
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.5 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$81.52
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ATRO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATRO price and gamma walls.
