ATRO
Astronics Corp
AIRCRAFT PARTS & AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT, NEC
Astronics (ATRO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$60.33
-1.67 (-2.69%)
▼
5d:
+4.96%
30d:
-4.41%
90d:
-34.86%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
60/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$57.86 – $64.58
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.7x
CHEAP
vs 24.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$98.00
+62.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$52.00 / $64.22
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATRO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.77
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.26
15.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATRO is currently trading at $60.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.86 to $64.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.7) compared to its historical average (24.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2400% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $52.00, while resistance sits at $64.22.
Market Sentiment: ATRO scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.00 (+62.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $52.00, while resistance sits at $64.22.
Market Sentiment: ATRO scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.00 (+62.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$57.86 -
$64.58
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$57.86 -
$64.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$52.00
Resistance Level
$64.22
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.4% below Wall St target ($98.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.68
Wall Street Target
$98.00
(+62.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2400.0%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 24.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.74
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$51.51
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$47.59
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$60.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.1%)
$88.06
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 13.1%)
$87.28
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 13.1%)
$74.19
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case
$113.61
(+88%)
Analyst growth 66.6%, PE expands to 37.1
Base Case
$103.28
(+71%)
Market implied 66.6%, PE stable at 33.7
Bear Case
$42.16
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.7 to 24.9
Stabilization Target:
$76.32
(+26.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ATRO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment dominates $ATRO on StockTwits with no new news articles.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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