ATRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATRO - Astronics Corp
$72.03
-0.47 (-0.65%)
▼
5d:
+0.33%
30d:
-12.52%
90d:
-0.63%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATRO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATRO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.85
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATRO is currently trading at $72.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.33 to $87.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.7) is in line with its historical norms (25.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.45, while resistance sits at $86.19.
Market Sentiment: ATRO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.45, while resistance sits at $86.19.
Market Sentiment: ATRO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$73.33 -
$87.45
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.15)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.33 -
$87.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.46
(10.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.45
Resistance Level
$86.19
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.66
Wall Street Target
$76.15
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
154.2%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
27.7 vs 25.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.83
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$75.68
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$77.57
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$72.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.7, Growth: 15.3%)
$110.46
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.3%)
$86.98
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 15.3%)
$73.93
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 27.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.65
Bull Case
$86.98
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$72.03
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$55.10
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ATRO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATRO price and gamma walls.
