ATRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATRO - Astronics Corp
$83.51
-2.10 (-2.45%)
▼
5d:
-1.76%
30d:
+15.83%
90d:
+5.32%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: ATRO shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 4th percentile) and market pricing in only 2.2% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: ATRO shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 4th percentile) and market pricing in only 2.2% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.42
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATRO is currently trading at $83.51, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.42 to $84.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.7) is in line with its historical norms (25.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.87, while resistance sits at $90.65.
Market Sentiment: ATRO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.87, while resistance sits at $90.65.
Market Sentiment: ATRO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$73.42 -
$84.47
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
4th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 4th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($91.38)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.42 -
$84.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.86
(8.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.87
Resistance Level
$90.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.72
Wall Street Target
$91.38
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
154.3%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
26.7 vs 25.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.35
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$87.22
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$89.14
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.7, Growth: 15.3%)
$128.05
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 15.3%)
$104.99
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 15.3%)
$89.24
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 27.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.24
Bull Case
$106.47
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$88.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$67.45
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ATRO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATRO price and gamma walls.
