AVD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVD - American Vanguard Corporation
$2.47
-0.13 (-5.00%)
▼
5d:
-4.63%
30d:
-7.49%
90d:
-46.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.22
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.24
23.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVD is currently trading at $2.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.65 to $2.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+385.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+385.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.65 -
$2.95
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 385.8% below Wall St target ($12.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.65 -
$2.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.46
Resistance Level
$3.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.50
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+385.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
-8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 9.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.22
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.00
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.80
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$2.71
(+10%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$3.72
(+50.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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