AVD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVD - American Vanguard Corporation
$2.49
0.03 (1.22%)
▲
5d:
-3.86%
30d:
-19.94%
90d:
-6.74%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AVD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AVD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.85
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.01
17.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVD is currently trading at $2.49, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.46 to $2.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $2.38, while resistance sits at $2.70.
Market Sentiment: AVD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+387.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $2.38, while resistance sits at $2.70.
Market Sentiment: AVD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+387.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$2.46 -
$2.84
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 387.8% below Wall St target ($12.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.46 -
$2.84
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.38
Resistance Level
$2.70
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.47
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+387.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
-8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 9.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.21
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.99
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.79
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$2.52
(+3%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$3.46
(+40.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 11:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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