Is AVD stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, AVD is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: AVD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of AVD stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for AVD to be between $2.56 and $2.83. The current price is $2.56.

What is the analyst price target for AVD?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for AVD is $12.00. This implies a potential upside of 368.7% from current levels.

AVD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AVD - American Vanguard Corporation

AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS

$2.56

0.01 (0.39%) ▲

5d: -6.91%

30d: -10.49%

90d: +5.79%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 30, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AVD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$5.06

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$3.14

18.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AVD is currently trading at $2.56, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.56 to $2.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.41, while resistance sits at $3.15.

Market Sentiment: AVD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+368.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $2.56 - $2.83

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 368.7% below Wall St target ($12.00)
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.9%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $2.56 - $2.83

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.41

Resistance Level $3.15

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.74

Wall Street Target $12.00 (+368.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -17.6%

Profit Margin -8.7%

Valuation Discount vs History -10.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 6.7 vs 9.5 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -10.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $2.30 (-10%)

2-Year Target $2.07 (-19%)

3-Year Target $1.87 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→10) $2.63 (+3%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 9.5

Stabilization Target: $3.61 (+41.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +41.0%

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Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:20 AM

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