AVD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVD - American Vanguard Corporation
$2.17
-0.13 (-5.65%)
▼
5d:
-2.69%
30d:
-15.56%
90d:
-22.78%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AVD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AVD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.69
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.91
25.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVD is currently trading at $2.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.28 to $2.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.0) compared to its historical average (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.02, while resistance sits at $2.45. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: AVD scores 91/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+421.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.02, while resistance sits at $2.45. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: AVD scores 91/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+421.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.28 -
$2.64
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (91/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 421.7% below Wall St target ($12.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 17% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.28 -
$2.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.03
Resistance Level
$2.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.05
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+421.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
-10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 8.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.07
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.86
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.68
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$2.44
(+6%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.1 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$3.34
(+45.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 4:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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