AVD
American Vanguard Corporation
AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS
American Vanguard (AVD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$0.82
+0.00 (+0.36%)
▲
5d:
-22.08%
30d:
-41.97%
90d:
-62.29%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$0.92 – $1.46
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
2.2x
CHEAP
vs 7.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.00
+1366.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$0.81 / $1.20
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AVD is down 22.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.15
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.58
68.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVD is currently trading at $0.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.92 to $1.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.1) compared to its historical average (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 34.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+1366.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+1366.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$0.92 -
$1.46
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$0.92 -
$1.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$0.81
Resistance Level
$1.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 1366.6% below Wall St target ($12.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.15
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+1366.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
-10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-34.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.2 vs 7.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-34.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.74
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.66
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.60
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→8)
$2.16
(+164%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.2 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$2.96
(+262.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+262.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AVD)
Neutral
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment on $AVD dominates StockTwits, with traders pointing out negative financial metrics such as free cash flow, net income, and EPS.
Key Retail Themes:
Negative financial performance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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