American Vanguard (AVD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVD - American Vanguard Corporation
$2.26
0.03 (1.35%)
â˛
5d:
-1.74%
30d:
+4.15%
90d:
-18.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AVD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AVD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.58
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.84
20.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVD is currently trading at $2.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.16 to $2.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.0) compared to its historical average (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.17, while resistance sits at $2.42.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+431.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.17, while resistance sits at $2.42.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+431.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$2.16 -
$2.38
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 431.0% below Wall St target ($12.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.16 -
$2.38
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.17
Resistance Level
$2.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.95
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+431.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
-10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 8.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.83
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.65
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â9)
$2.38
(+5%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.9 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$3.27
(+44.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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