AVD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVD - American Vanguard Corporation
$2.56
0.01 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
-6.91%
30d:
-10.49%
90d:
+5.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AVD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AVD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.06
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.14
18.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVD is currently trading at $2.56, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.56 to $2.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.41, while resistance sits at $3.15.
Market Sentiment: AVD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+368.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.41, while resistance sits at $3.15.
Market Sentiment: AVD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+368.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$2.56 -
$2.83
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 368.7% below Wall St target ($12.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.56 -
$2.83
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.41
Resistance Level
$3.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.74
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+368.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
-8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 9.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.30
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.07
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.87
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$2.63
(+3%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$3.61
(+41.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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