AZO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AZO - AutoZone, Inc.
$3127.29
57.67 (1.88%)
▲
5d:
+3.68%
30d:
+3.88%
90d:
-12.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 22, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AZO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AZO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5510.30
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3421.46
8.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AZO is currently trading at $3127.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2980.25 to $3123.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AZO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3172.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AZO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3950.52 (+26.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AZO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3172.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AZO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3950.52 (+26.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2980.25 -
$3123.34
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AZO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.3% below Wall St target ($3950.52)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2980.25 -
$3123.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$139.39
(4.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2945.37
Resistance Level
$3172.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.85
Wall Street Target
$3950.52
(+26.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3030.34
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$2936.40
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$2845.37
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$3124.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.0%)
$5533.53
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$4882.05
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 16.0%)
$4149.74
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $145.50
Bull Case
$4066.18
(+30%)
Analyst growth 20.4%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$3696.52
(+18%)
Market implied 20.4%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$2087.34
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$3434.23
(+9.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 08, 2026 7:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AZO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Earl G Graves Jr
SELL
50 shares
2026-04-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
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Advanced AZO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AZO price and gamma walls.
