BA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BA - Boeing Company

AIRCRAFT
$220.42
3.70 (1.71%) ▲
5d: -3.11%
30d: +0.64%
90d: +12.22%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 7.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$146.47
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.95
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BA is currently trading at $220.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $214.94 to $225.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 51.8) compared to its historical average (61.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $207.95, while resistance sits at $231.34.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $270.00 (+24.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $214.94 - $225.67
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($270.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $214.94 - $225.67
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $207.95
Resistance Level $231.34
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 51.83
Wall Street Target $270.00 (+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -68.0%
Profit Margin 2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 51.8 vs 61.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $205.22 (-5%)
2-Year Target $194.35 (-10%)
3-Year Target $184.05 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 52→61) $216.98 (+0%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (87x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (52x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 86.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.54
Bull Case $399.89 (+85%)
Analyst growth 64.6%, PE expands to 95.6
Base Case $363.54 (+68%)
Market implied 64.6%, PE stable at 86.9
Bear Case $150.16 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 73.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 51.8 to 61.1
Stabilization Target: $255.48 (+17.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +17.9%
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 10:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
4
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maria Elvira Salazar BUY 2026-03-19
Maria Elvira Salazar BUY 2026-03-19
Mortimer J Buckley BUY 2230 shares 2026-03-03

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