BGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BGC - BGC Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$10.98
0.20 (1.86%)
▲
5d:
-1.08%
30d:
-0.99%
90d:
+0.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BGC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BGC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.33
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGC is currently trading at $10.98, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.70 to $11.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.32, while resistance sits at $11.54.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+43.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.32, while resistance sits at $11.54.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+43.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.70 -
$11.95
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.8% below Wall St target ($15.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.70 -
$11.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.32
Resistance Level
$11.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.82
Wall Street Target
$15.50
(+43.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.8%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.88
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$10.97
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$11.07
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.71
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$48.42
(+349%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$15.17
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$12.89
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.38
Bull Case
$24.13
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.8
Base Case
$21.94
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.9
Bear Case
$7.46
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jean-Pierre Aubin
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BGC price and gamma walls.
