Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MS - Morgan Stanley
$214.38
1.72 (0.81%)
▲
5d:
-1.28%
30d:
-1.5%
90d:
+0.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $217.72 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MS is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MS is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$265.91
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$165.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MS is currently trading at $214.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $212.53 to $217.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $208.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $237.33 (+11.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $208.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $237.33 (+11.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$212.53 -
$217.57
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($237.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$212.53 -
$217.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$208.91
Resistance Level
$218.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.53
Wall Street Target
$237.33
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.4%
Profit Margin
25.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$213.09
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$213.51
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$213.94
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$212.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 5.5%)
$324.04
(+52%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 5.5%)
$249.52
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 5.5%)
$212.09
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.39
Bull Case
$261.78
(+23%)
Analyst growth 10.5%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$237.98
(+12%)
Market implied 10.5%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$146.44
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric F Grossman
SELL
11118 shares
2026-04-20
Daniel A Simkowitz
SELL
14690 shares
2026-04-17
Andrew M Saperstein
SELL
51668 shares
2026-04-16
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Advanced MS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MS price and gamma walls.
