BKH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKH - Black Hills Corporation
$75.80
0.59 (0.78%)
▲
5d:
+5.04%
30d:
+5.37%
90d:
+2.71%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BKH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BKH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.84
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKH is currently trading at $75.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.38 to $74.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $76.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.20 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $76.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.20 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$71.38 -
$74.59
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.20)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with -3.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.38 -
$74.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.12
Resistance Level
$76.40
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.44
Wall Street Target
$85.20
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.48
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$77.17
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$77.87
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$75.80
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$120.71
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 6.3%)
$91.09
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 6.3%)
$77.43
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$96.31
(+28%)
Analyst growth 19.5%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$87.56
(+16%)
Market implied 19.5%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$49.83
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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