BLKB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLKB - Blackbaud, Inc.
$47.52
1.07 (2.30%)
▲
5d:
+5.02%
30d:
+52.06%
90d:
+60.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When BLKB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BLKB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BLKB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.89
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLKB is currently trading at $47.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.43 to $46.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLKB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BLKB scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.40 (+12.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLKB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BLKB scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.40 (+12.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$34.43 -
$46.64
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
4th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.2%
Protect Your Profits
BLKB is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 4th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($53.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.43 -
$46.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.20
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.14
Resistance Level
$48.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.06
Wall Street Target
$53.40
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
43.6%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.00
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$48.48
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$48.96
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.3%)
$167.38
(+252%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 12.3%)
$67.24
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 12.3%)
$57.15
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.22
Bull Case
$93.53
(+97%)
Analyst growth 83.0%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$85.02
(+79%)
Market implied 83.0%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$31.59
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BLKB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin P Gregoire
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-04
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HUBS
HubSpot Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$243 | 47 HOLD |
|
NOW
ServiceNow Inc |
STRONG BUY
47 analysts |
$140 | 44 HOLD |
|
GRAB
Grab Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$6 | 50 HOLD |
|
SHOP
Shopify Inc |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$168 | 46 HOLD |
|
DT
Dynatrace Holdings LLC |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$58 | 38 SELL |
Advanced BLKB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLKB price and gamma walls.
