BLKB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLKB - Blackbaud, Inc.
$42.80
2.72 (6.79%)
▲
5d:
+30.85%
30d:
+42.19%
90d:
+15.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When BLKB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: BLKB is 26.0% above its trading range ($33.98). Market expects -2.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: BLKB is 26.0% above its trading range ($33.98). Market expects -2.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.89
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLKB is currently trading at $42.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.70 to $33.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 46.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLKB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.19, while resistance sits at $44.34. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: BLKB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.40 (+24.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLKB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.19, while resistance sits at $44.34. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: BLKB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.40 (+24.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.70 -
$33.98
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
BLKB is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+26.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($53.40)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 26.0% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.70 -
$33.98
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.19
Resistance Level
$44.34
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.26
Wall Street Target
$53.40
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.3%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.73
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$40.69
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$39.67
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$42.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.3%)
$172.89
(+304%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 12.3%)
$60.56
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 12.3%)
$51.48
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.02
Bull Case
$86.04
(+101%)
Analyst growth 95.2%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$78.22
(+83%)
Market implied 95.2%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$27.25
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$45.97
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BLKB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin P Gregoire
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-04
David J Benjamin
SELL
14349 shares
2026-02-24
Kevin Mcdearis
SELL
15462 shares
2026-02-23
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NOW
ServiceNow Inc |
STRONG BUY
47 analysts |
$140 | 54 HOLD |
|
HUBS
HubSpot Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$274 | 49 HOLD |
|
SHOP
Shopify Inc |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$148 | 58 HOLD |
|
TEAM
Atlassian Corp Plc |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$140 | 52 HOLD |
|
GRAB
Grab Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$6 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced BLKB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLKB price and gamma walls.
