BLMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLMN - Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$7.65
-0.64 (-7.72%)
▼
5d:
+8.2%
30d:
-6.02%
90d:
+36.36%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Get Alerted When BLMN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BLMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BLMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.01
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLMN is currently trading at $7.65, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.49 to $8.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (7.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.03, while resistance sits at $8.61. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.64 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.03, while resistance sits at $8.61. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.64 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$7.49 -
$8.26
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($8.64)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.49 -
$8.26
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.03
Resistance Level
$8.61
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.85
Wall Street Target
$8.64
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 7.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.89
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$8.13
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$8.38
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.69
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.8%)
$28.83
(+277%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 10.8%)
$10.39
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 10.8%)
$8.83
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$18.24
(+138%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.0
Base Case
$16.58
(+117%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$5.64
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 16, 2026 5:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BLMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Rohit Lal
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-11
Julie T Kunkel
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-05
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$235 | 60 BUY |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$77 | 65 BUY |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$86 | 60 BUY |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$43 | 56 HOLD |
|
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$61 | 64 BUY |
Advanced BLMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLMN price and gamma walls.